Section 3: Travel Demand Modeling
Overview
A Travel Demand Model (TDM) is a tool to support the urban
transportation planning process. It is a series of analytical techniques
used to predict future demand for transportation facilities and
services and estimates the impacts of policies and program on behavior
and travel demand. A TDM can predict how changes in size and character
of the population will impact the transportation system in the future.
Federal regulations for Urban Travel Demand Modeling include
Planning Assistance and Standards;
Requirements for Preparation, Adoption, and Submittal
of Implementation Plans;
Transportation;
Determining Conformity of Federal Actions to State or
Federal Implementation Plans, 122b&c; and
Management and Monitoring Systems.
Statewide Modeling Process
The Statewide Modeling Process includes development and implementation
of travel demand modeling (TDM) as part of the Continuous, Cooperative,
and Comprehensive (3C) planning process with TxDOT Districts and
Metropolitan Planning Organizations (MPOs).
The state's development of urban travel demand modeling benefits
18 MPOs directly and 5 large MPOs indirectly. All MPOs receive support
in data acquisition and travel surveys to support model development.
All MPOs also have access to demographic support through TPP's IAC
with the Texas State Data Center. And, MPOs have access to the Travel
Demand Modeling Helpdesk and Travel Demand Modeling Dashboard coordination
platform through TPP's TDM IAC. Five large MPOs develop travel demand
models using in-house or contract staff. TxDOT participates in the 3C
process with these MPOs including the review of the models developed,
as appropriate.
MPOs gain the benefits from having access to standard programs,
processes, and resources which TPP provides to support the development
of MPO models. Model timelines are mutually agreed to by all parties.
Schedule deviations are documented and schedules are adjusted within
reason or additional resources are assigned to the projects. When
models are updated a review of the previous models capabilities
and challenges is undertaken, and the information is used to improve
the process.
During the initiation of each model, TPP works with the MPO
to define who is responsible for each step of the process. Typically,
MPOs develop the locally specific input data, and TPP develops the models
and trains staff in the use of the models. Then, the MPOs use the
models for Metropolitan Transportation Plan development and project
analysis. The breakdown in responsibilities for specific steps can
vary between areas.
Statewide Analysis Model (SAM)
The Statewide Analysis Model (SAM) includes expanded coverage
of its travel demand modeling to a statewide model that includes
different passenger and freight modes and the interaction among those
modes. SAM Version 4 (SAM-V4) has 2015 as a base year and 2050 as
a horizon year.
Travel Survey Program
TxDOT obtains information on travel behavior from travel surveys
and uses it to develop trip generation and trip attraction rates
from each urban area. A typical travel survey in Texas contains
a household survey, an establishment survey and external data analysis
using passive data. Support is available for MPO or transit agency
conducted surveys, i.e. on-board public transit surveys. In some
nonattainment or near nonattainment areas, an air quality survey
may be conducted.
TxDOT’s Travel Survey Program supplements internal efforts
using InfoGroup data and National Household Travel Survey (NHTS)
data.
The Texas Travel Survey Program complies with
.
Demographic Assistance Interagency Contract
TPP Traffic Analysis provides information, training, and assistance
to analysts and designated MPOs for the development of base and
forecast year demographic data for input into TDMs or for use in
transportation analysis.
TexPACK
TexPACK is an Integrated Travel Demand Modeling Application
that includes a suite of TDM software incorporating trip generation
and distribution techniques that are integrated into TransCAD travel
demand modeling platform and takes advantage of inherent GIS capabilities.
The implementation of TexPACK increased the use of travel
demand model applications by improving the application interface
that creates a standard platform to create, apply and deploy models
throughout the state. TexPACK also creates a common system for measuring
and communicating results as well as permitting flexibility for
enhancement.
Texas Travel Demand Modeling Dashboard
The Travel Demand Modeling Dashboard facilitates shared team
management of the TDM development and application process and enhances
communication, coordination, and collaboration. As an enhanced way
of doing business, the Dashboard provides a tool for high level
status and progress summary and review.
The Dashboard continues ongoing efforts to move towards statewide
consistency, while providing project management and oversight as
well as cultivating team-level ownership and responsibility.
Help Desk Assistance
Assistance can be reached at TPP-TRANSCAD-HELPDESK@txdot.gov
or by calling 512-486-5177.