16.4 Analysis Methodology
16.4.1 Existing Conditions
The existing field conditions within the study area are analyzed as a baseline to compare future conditions. By analyzing existing conditions, the impact a development has on the roadway system from a traffic operations standpoint can be measured. The existing conditions analysis also serves as a calibration step for the performance assumptions within the analysis procedure (e.g., saturation flow rate, gap acceptance) that can vary by geographical area and user demographics. The results of the existing conditions analysis are compared to the field observations so that the preparing engineer and reviewers can be confident that the model is valid for use in projecting future conditions.
- Peak Hour Counts
- If the appropriate data is called for, counts at major intersections near the proposed project driveways are conducted to obtain AM and PM peak hour traffic volumes. These volumes are typically shown in anExisting Traffic Volumes exhibit.
- Typical analysis hours are the AM and PM peak hours. Other analysis hours can be evaluated as needed (e.g., midday peak, Saturday peak, or school peak), depending on the project site and adjacent land use. These alternate analysis hours are typically developed during the preliminary scoping stage.
- If there are multiple intersections being counted, the hour with the highest cumulative total volumes across all intersections typically serves as the analysis hour.
- Counts can be collected in a variety of ways with the most common forms being field TMCs, counts from ITS devices, and count data for other transportation modes including bicycles, pedestrians, transit, etc. It is recommended that raw count data be provided in the appendix of the report.
- Field Observations
- A field visit helps explain the physical and operational conditions of the study area. Common observations include existing geometry, traffic control, queuing, delays, and pedestrian/bike activity.
- It is recommended that a field visit take place as part of a TIA and observations be documented in the report.
- For safety considerations in a TIA, it is recommended that intersection sight distance is analyzed and TxDOT’s right-turn warrant thresholds are evaluated.
- Traffic Signal Timings
- Timings are typically requested for any signalized intersections to be studied within the study area from TxDOT. These timings are used to model the existing conditions.
- Traffic Analysis Output
- Existing traffic counts are used for volume inputs, heavy vehicle data, non-motorist activity, and other related characteristics of the surrounding roadway network.
- The existing LOS for any significantly impacted intersections is typically displayed using the latest HCM analysis methodology. For signalized intersections, each approach and the overall intersection are analyzed. For stop-controlled intersections, each stop-controlled approach is analyzed by the approach. Leftturning movements of non-stop controlled approaches are analyzed by movement
- Multimodal (pedestrian/bicycle) activity within the project vicinity is typically addressed. Multimodal improvements such as sidewalks and crosswalks are also typically evaluated for the project
16.4.2 Future Conditions
After the addition of background growth and the proposed development, the surrounding roadway area needs to be reanalyzed. These conditions estimate how the roadway system will operate after the presence of the development. Acceptable future conditions may indicate the development can be incorporated successfully into the roadway system.
- Trip Generation
- Trip generation is usually based on ITE’s latest publication of theTrip Generation Manualor other acceptable sources. ITE’sTrip Generation Manualincludes equations for daily and study peak hour trip rates based on a specified independent variable. In many cases, this can be the square footage of the specific land use, or the number of units contained within a residential development. Example trip generation calculations can be found inAppendix Q, Section 3 – TIA Example Problems.
- Volumes are usually generated with average rates or a fitted curve equation. Consult the ITE Trip Generation Handbook Chapter 4 “Trip Generation Manual Data” to decide whether rates or equations are used.
- Internal Capture
- Vehicle trip reduction may be applicable depending on the project location and type of land uses in a proposed development. If used, it is recommended this reduction follows the methodology found in the ITETrip Generation Manual
- Pass-By Trips
- If reducing vehicle pass-by trips, the percentage reduced typically equates to the total vehicle trips generated minus the internal capture used for each land use. Pass-by percentage has an upper limit percentage of the existing vehicular traffic to be set while scoping with TxDOT.
- Distribution
- Project distribution of the proposed trips is assigned using engineering judgment. If only one project driveway is proposed, all trips enter and exit through this driveway. This process is used to create a trip distribution and traffic assignment exhibit.
- Background Analysis
- When analyzing the future roadway network, background growth and future project traffic is added to the existing traffic counts. Background growth data may be available from the city or MPO. Historical AADT information can be averaged for at least the last five years of data, when available, to obtain an average annual growth rate to grow the background volumes. Using this annual growth rate, existing traffic is grown to the future study years specified in the scope.
- If there are other approved developments to be included in the study within close vicinity to the proposed project, traffic can be projected for each development through the process of trip generation and added to the roadway network through trip distribution and traffic assignment.
- The combination of grown traffic and traffic from other approved developments are typically combined into a background traffic scenario and provided in an exhibit. This is typically completed for each future study year.
- Background Plus Site Analysis
- New traffic created from the proposed site is added to the background traffic scenarios, resulting in a background plus site traffic scenario for each study year. Peak hour volumes for these scenarios are usually provided in separate exhibits for each scenario.
- Traffic Analysis Output
- The future traffic analysis includes all geometric characteristics of the existing analysis with the addition of proposed driveways. Background traffic and background plus site traffic scenarios are typically analyzed.
- Future levels of service are obtained for all study intersections, along with any new project driveways used to access the project development. The latest HCM analysis methodology is typically used. For signalized intersections, each approach and the overall intersection are analyzed. For stop-controlled intersections, each stopcontrolled approach is analyzed by the approach. Left-turning movements of non-stop controlled approaches are typically analyzed by movement.
- Traffic signal timings are typically adjusted and optimized in future scenarios in order to improve LOS. This can also be part of the proposed improvements. TxDOT area offices can request that analysis be run with existing timings in order to preserve existing signal coordination. If an intersection is operating over capacity, the mitigation requirements in Section 4 can be reviewed and used to help with capacity issues
- AnexampleTraffic Analysis can be found inAppendix Q, Section 3 – TIA Example Problems.
16.4.3 Mitigation Requirements
Thresholds for acceptable operations of various MOEs (LOS, queue lengths, travel times, etc.) are agreed upon with TxDOT during the preliminary scoping process. Any operational deficiencies found in the future analysis are considered for mitigation. All mitigation is typically confirmed with the local TxDOT District. The developer is responsible for implementing the mitigation measures.
Conditions often include:
- Access management guidelines for driveway spacing and turn lanes
- TxDOT’s Access Management Manual and RDM(Appendix Q, Section 4 – External References ‘Reference 4’) is used for driveway spacing and turn lane configuration
- Chapter 8 “Freeways” of the RMD has information on developments near freeways that can impact a TIA.
- Mobility
- If the future scenario analysis shows high or unacceptable delays, appropriate mitigation measures are taken to correct or alleviate the issues on the roadway network. If a signalized intersection is experiencing unacceptable vehicular delays, phasing and timing settings are optimized to mitigate the delay levels. If signal optimization is not enough to alleviate the vehicular delay levels, improvements to intersection geometry or type are considered. If an unsignalized intersection experiences notable delay, redistribution of trips to other routes is considered.
- Safety
- Review the location of access points on site in relation to existing nearby access points and intersections for safety considerations. It is recommended that the site plan be examined to confirm the design of external access points account for bicycle and pedestrian safety. It is recommended that a safety and crash analysis based on the past five calendar years be conducted within the study area. Compare crash rates for the study area with statewide/municipality crash rates. Identify CRF to mitigate key locations. SeeAppendix Q, Section 4 – External References (Reference 6, 7)for additional information regarding safety analysis for Traffic Impact Analyses. Key safety questions to consider while conducting a safety analysis for Traffic Impact Analyses include:
- What is the historical crash analysis in the study area?
- What are the existing crash types involving fatalities and serious injuries? Where are those crashes? What road user types are represented in those crashes?
- Will the project create additional multimodal conflict points?
- Will the project result in increased vehicular speeds?
- Will the project lead to longer queues that would affect through traffic and cause speed differentials?
- Based on crash estimation methods from the HSM methodologies, will the project potentially contribute to more crashes? Review locations that will be modified by the project and evaluate designs.
- What countermeasures would improve safety in the study area? Incorporate them in the project to improve safety.
- Is there a safety plan in place for the study area? If so, integrate recommendations from the safety plan in the project
- Are the crash rates in the study area above the statewide averages for similar roadways? Identify safety-focused mitigation measures.
Typical improvements include:
- Auxiliary Lane Improvements
- Consider right-turn deceleration lanes when there are large numbers of right-turning vehicles into the project site. TxDOT’s Access Management Manual outlines thresholds for right-turn lanes at new site driveways. This may involve ROW purchase at corners. See for the threshold values. Anexampleof auxiliary lane analysis is shown inAppendix Q, Section 3 – TIA Example Problems.Figure 16-1: Right-Turn Lane Thresholds
- Left-turn deceleration lanes are typically considered for roadways with raised medians. For undivided roadways, reference the TxDOT RDM for left-turn lane volume thresholds and geometry.
- Lengthening of storage lanes
- Median modifications
- Median modifications are considered for both safety improvements and operational improvements. Traffic and safety analysis is performed to determine locations for directional median openings as an alternative to full access openings
- Traffic Signal Modification
- As traffic is increased and redirected based on new developments, any existing traffic signals are analyzed for operational deficiencies as well as placement changes that may help with LOS and traffic flow. Preferable traffic signal spacing is one-half of a mile.
- Road Widening
- If the future demands along the nearby roadway segments are significantly impacted and the roadway is predicted to operate over capacity, widening can be considered to mitigate the extra vehicular traffic volume. ROW limitations and existing geometries are considered when widening is proposed for a project. Improvements, such as a right-turn lane, may necessitate additional ROW.
- Traffic Signal Installation
- Consider traffic signal installation at unsignalized intersections with high or unacceptable vehicular delay. In these circumstances, complete a traffic signal warrant analysis following the process outlined inChapter 10of this manual.
- Additional Mitigation Measures
- Revised striping
- Turning lane restrictions
- Alternative Intersection and Interchange Application
- Consider alternative intersections in place of a typical traffic signal intersection. Alternative intersection analysis can be performed following the process outlined inChapter 10of this manual. Roundabout analysis is presented inChapter 12of this manual.
- Alternative interchanges can be considered in place of a signalized interchange. Perform alternative interchange analysis following the process outlined inChapter 11of this manual.
16.4.4 Analysis Tools
Common tools used for TIAs include Synchro, HCS, Vissim and Vistro. For guidance on tools used as part of a safety analysis in a TIA, see
Chapter 5
and Chapter 6
of this manual.