|
Texas Department of Transportation Commission Meeting
Commission Room
Dewitt Greer Building
125 East 11th Street
Austin, Texas 78701-2483
Thursday, September 27, 2007
COMMISSION MEMBERS:
Ric Williamson, Chairman
Hope Andrade
Ted Houghton, Jr.
Ned S. Holmes
Fred A. Underwood
STAFF:
Steven E. Simmons, Interim Executive Director
Bob Jackson, General Counsel
Roger Polson, Executive Assistant to the
Deputy Executive Director
Dee Hernandez, Chief Minute Clerk
PROCEEDINGS
MR. WILLIAMSON: It is 9:05 a.m. and I would like to
call the September 2007 meeting of the Texas Transportation Commission to order.
It is a pleasure to have each of you here this
morning. Please note for the record, the public notice of this meeting
containing all items on the agenda was filed with the Office of Secretary of
State at 1:52 p.m. on September 19, 2007.
Before we begin our meeting this morning, I would
appreciate it if you would join with me in removing from your pocket or purse
your cell phone, Dewberry, pager, two-way radio, and whatever else you might
have that would go off and disrupt the day's meeting, and place that on either
the silent or vibrate mode.
Thank you very much. It is our custom to open with
comments from the members of the commission. I'll begin with Mr. Underwood,
followed by Mr. Holmes, Mr. Houghton, and Ms. Andrade. Fred?
MR. UNDERWOOD: Good morning. I see we have some
distinguished people from El Paso, welcome. Look forward to having a good day
today.
I see a very distinguished gentleman that just walked
in. How are you doing, Sir?
VOICE: Very good, thank you.
MR. UNDERWOOD: You're welcome.
MR. HOLMES: Good morning. We appreciate the
hospitality from El Paso Chamber and group last night. I look forward to hearing
your comments today. Thank you.
MR. HOUGHTON: I echo my fellow commissioners' remarks,
and regarding last night it was a lot of fun, thanks to the Chamber, and
congratulations on the Inner Loop.
And, welcome. We got a lot of discussion items here
today, and look forward to visiting with you all. Thank you.
MS. ANDRADE: Well, I also echo my fellow
commissioners, a special welcome to our September meeting. It's not as well
attended, Mr. Chairman. I'm a little concerned, but I look forward to taking
care of business and moving Texas forward. Thank you.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Thank you, Members. I associate myself
with the remarks of the commissioners, particularly with regard to El Paso,
thank you very much for the hospitality, the warm hospitality you shared with us
last night.
And we look forward to celebrating your decision to
move Texas forward in El Paso if that be the will of the commission later on in
today's meeting.
Let me remind everyone that if you wish to address the
commission during today's meeting, we ask that you complete a speaker's card,
which you can find at the registration table in the lobby to your right.
If you're going to comment on an agenda item, we would
appreciate it if you would fill out a yellow card such as the one in my right
hand. If you wish to comment in the Open Comment period, and not about a
particular item on the agenda, we would ask that you fill out the blue card,
such as the one in my right hand.
In any event, while your comments and testimony is
important to the commission and we always take time to listen to everyone, we
ask that you try to limit your comments to three minutes so that we can move
forward with today's business as expeditiously as possible, unless you are a
sitting member of the House or the Senate, in which case we ask that you take
all of the time you need to make your position clear.
And we welcome to the body the Honorable
Representative Joe Pickett in the second row on the left. Is -- are there any
other members of the Legislature with us this morning?
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay, thank you very much. And again,
thank you, Members.
Normally, the first item on the agenda is the approval
of the minutes, however this is a special morning for the second-floor staff,
and the commission generally, and for myself individually.
And that is, this morning we get to celebrate the 15th
year of service for my administrative assistant, and the administrative
assistant to the commission, Mary Anne Griss. And Mary Anne, if you wouldn't
mind, I would appreciate it if you would come forward, and let us make jokes,
and do the best we can to gently embarrass you.
Steve? Read the citation?
MR. SIMMONS: Mary Anne, congratulations on 15 years
with the department. It's been a pleasure, I've only really gotten to work with
you I guess on the second floor for the last six years.
But we do have a certificate of service that I'm --
that I ask the commission to present to you, but it basically reads, "In
recognition and appreciation of 15 years of meritorious service with the Texas
Department of Transportation, the commission presents this certificate to Mary
Anne A. Griss, and extends its congratulations and best wishes for a long and
happy continuance of service."
So, congratulations, Mary Anne.
MR. WILLIAMSON: And we're going to let you have the
last word. Members, do you have anything you want to get off your chest right
now while I've got her in the limelight?
(Laughter.)
MR. UNDERWOOD: No. I just wanted to say what a -- your
attributes are obvious or you wouldn't make it to 15 years, but I really have
appreciated knowing you, and I'm sure you must have started when you were twelve
years old, and whatnot --
MS. GRISS: Oh, I did.
MR. UNDERWOOD: -- and also, you must feel like 40
years, working for the Chairman.
(Laughter.)
MR. UNDERWOOD: So, excuse me.
MR. HOLMES: Yes, these errors go every direction. Mary
Anne, you bring a great sense of comfort and good humor, and a beautiful smile
that I think makes everything work better for all of us.
Fred and I have only been here since January, and you
made us feel at home, and we appreciate that.
MS. GRISS: Oh, thank you.
MR. HOLMES: Thank you.
MR. HOUGHTON: Well, I've only been here three and a
half years, and it's been a delight working with you. The class of the -- you
bring a lot of class to this organization, and I look forward to working with
you. Been a lot of fun, Mary Anne.
MS. ANDRADE: Oh, Mary Anne, thank you so much for
everything you've done for me. The support, the guidance, and you do add a lot
to the Chairman. He's lucky to have you. Thank you very much.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I have to share the story. I mean, you
know what's coming.
MS. GRISS: Uh oh.
MR. WILLIAMSON: When Governor Perry called me to
service in this position, I arrived from the perspective of a House member,
somewhat skeptical of how the department organized its affairs.
And one of the things I had always heard as a member,
and I suspect Mr. Pickett has heard the same thing, is, when a commissioner is
chosen, the executive director chooses the person they wish to assist the
commissioner, in order to be sure that the executive director always knows what
a commissioner is up to, where he or she is going, and what they're doing.
So I made my mind up, Bob, that I was going to choose
my own administrative assistant, I wasn't interested in David Laney's
administrative assistant being passed along to me. And I told Wes Heald that, my
first visit to the department.
I said, You know, post, and I'm going to interview,
and I will choose my own person. And that was how I met Wes Heald on a formal
basis. And he had not one word to say to me; he just turned around and walked
out.
So we posted, we interviewed, and some of the people I
interviewed are in this room. And I interviewed you; I got through, and I looked
around and I said, Man, I must be crazy. This is exactly the person I need to
help me with my business.
So I'm glad that you responded to the posting and
didn't just leave me in the lurch, and I appreciate six years of good, hard
service. Now, you can speak.
MS. GRISS: Well, thank you. Thank you for changing
your mind.
You know, this is great getting so much attention for
just doing my job for 15 years. This is kind of nice. Thank you, it's been my
pleasure. And I have one of the best jobs in the department, getting to work
with the leadership.
So it's fantastic. The administration, the commission
over the years, it's been a wonderful opportunity. So I hope I can stay a little
while longer, I've enjoyed it. Thank you.
(Applause.)
(Pause.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay, thank you. And thank you again,
Mary Anne, for 15 years of service to the State of Texas.
The first item on today's agenda is the approval of
the minutes of the past three meetings: the regular meeting of August 23rd, and
the two special meetings of August 29th and September 17th.
Members, the draft of the minutes were presented to
you in your briefing materials, and you've had the opportunity to review them.
Is there a motion?
MR. UNDERWOOD: So moved.
MR. HOUGHTON: Second.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I have a motion and a second. All
those in favor of the motion will signify by saying aye.
(A chorus of ayes.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: All opposed, no?
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: Motion carries, minutes are approved,
thank you, Members.
Mr. Simmons?
MR. SIMMONS: Good morning, Mr. Chairman,
Commissioners. Our first item of -- on the agenda is Aviation, which is approve
funding for airport improvement project and I'll ask Bill Fuller to come up.
MR. FULLER: Good morning. My name is Bill Fuller. I'm
with the Aviation Division. This minute order contains a request for grant
funding approval of eight airport improvement projects. The total estimated cost
of all requests is shown in Exhibit A. It's $7,128,402. Of that, $6,235,562
federal, $180,000 state, and $712,840 of local match.
A public hearing was held on August 16. No comments
were received. We recommend approval of this minute order.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Members, you heard the staff's
explanation of this minute order, and the recommendation. Do you have questions
or comments directed to staff?
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: Do we have a motion?
MR. UNDERWOOD: So move.
MR. HOUGHTON: Second.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I have a motion and a second. All
those in favor of the motion will signify by saying aye.
(A chorus of ayes.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: All opposed, no?
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: Motion carries. Thank you.
MR. FULLER: Thank you, sir.
MR. SIMMONS: Chairman, our next item is Public
Transportation Item for the appointment of a new member to the Public
Transportation Advisory Committee.
MR. GLEASON: Good morning. For the record, my name is
Eric Gleason, TxDOT Director of Public Transportation.
This minute order authorizes the appointment of
Francisco Castellanos of Brownsville, Texas, to the Public Transportation
Advisory Committee. Mr. Castellanos will be representing public transportation
users on the committee.
Mr. Castellanos is the executive director of Cameron
Works. In his capacity, he is responsible for managing workforce development
activities in Cameron County, Texas.
Public transportation systems across the state are
beginning to develop partnerships with local workforce boards to address job
access and training issues. We are excited at the prospect of bringing this
perspective to the committee's work.
Mr. Castellanos' term of service will be effective
October 1, 2007, and run through September 30, 2010. PTAC is comprised of eleven
members. Board members have terms which expire on September 30, 2007.
Three new members were appointed at the August 23,
2007, commission meeting. This appointment fills the fourth and final vacancy.
We recommend your approval of this minute order.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Members, you've heard the staff's
explanation and recommendation on this minute order. Do you have questions or
comments directed to staff?
(No response.)
MR. HOUGHTON: So move.
MS. ANDRADE: Second.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I have a motion and a second. All
those in favor of the motion will signify by saying aye.
(A chorus of ayes.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: All opposed, no?
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: Motion carries. Thank you, Members.
Thank you, Eric.
MR. GLEASON: Thank you.
MR. SIMMONS: Our next item is a discussion item. This
is I guess our fourth discussion item on our financing, and impacts that the
state and federal legislation has. So I'll ask Coby Chase to come up and begin
the discussion.
MR. CHASE: Good morning. For the record, my name is
Coby Chase and I'm the director of TxDOT's Government and Public Affairs
Division. Today I will discuss our efforts at the federal level, as well as our
plan to communicate the need to focus our resources on maintaining our system.
This goes hand in glove with the four previous
presentations, that Amadeo Saenz, James Bass and I have made since June of this
year.
First, let me bring the commission and those in the
audience up to speed on our recent visit with members of the Texas Congressional
Delegation. Chairman Williamson, Mr. Simmons, Chris Lippincott and I joined Cady
North in Washington earlier this month to meet with members of Congress.
We had two broad objectives; communicate the financial
challenges we have versus our needs, and discuss ways to improve our bottom
line. Regarding our financial challenges, we discussed at length the need to
refocus our attention on maintaining our aging highway system.
Because we must maintain our existing system, we
simply will not have enough money to build new capacity. I'll go into further
detail about this later.
We've clarified our views on earmarks. You may recall
that we caught the attention of many in our Congressional delegation when we
explained the effects of earmarking small amounts of money for projects that are
not fully funded.
Such earmarks divert money from other identified
priorities, and tie up the money until the rest of the needed funding becomes
available. We had a healthy and productive discussion about this with members,
and both sides now understand each other quite a bit better, and I expect good
results.
Regarding possible solutions, we discussed the need to
give states and regions more flexibility. You will recall that as we were making
our way to D.C., someone unearthed the agency's federal priorities which we put
on our website in February; actually drafts starting in December 2006.
And had been sent to lawmakers, local leaders, the
media and other interested groups and individuals. Many people took exception to
the item, in which we urged Congress to conform federal law to state law with
respect to tolling interstates.
This was actually a timely event, and it facilitated
our discussion about the need for flexibility. While I'm not supportive of
surprising people, the net effect was that it prompted a healthy dialogue with
members.
Our experience with the Katy Freeway project, which is
nearly universally supported, was a time-consuming and extremely inefficient
process to negotiate.
We need a streamlined application process when there
is a compelling, publicly accepted reason to deviate from standard practice.
We had some frank discussions about the numerous
federal strings that are attached to funding, and the various funding silos that
seem to be established with no apparent thought put into how to measure and
reward results.
Congress seems to sometimes recognize this, and they
allow exceptions to certain federal requirements or prohibitions. But once it
leaves Congress' hands, that's when the bureaucratic fun kicks in.
To the extent there is any flexibility in current
federal law, it is a riddle wrapped in red tape inside a bureaucracy. In defense
of Congress, none of this was created in one day or in any one piece of
legislation, as best I can tell, and as best I can tell, never entered into
maliciously.
I believe everyone recognizes it will take some time
to repair the legal infrastructure that supports our transportation system. All
in all, we had a very good trip. The members were receptive; they got the chance
to air their concerns, and we were able to deliver a compelling message about
where we stand and how we can improve our situation.
They intend to appoint a bipartisan Texas
Transportation Working Group, and they have asked for a lot of data, because if
nothing else, a Texan likes to be armed.
The bottom line is that we share a devotion to
advancing the interests of Texas. Perhaps the most important consequence of the
trip is that the delegation, and we understand that by educating each other,
their constituents and our customers, we can advance our common interests much
more effectively.
And now, I would like to point out that in the coming
months, I believe we're -- and I believe we're aiming for November, we will
bring a set of federal priorities for you to consider, and it will be put out
for public comment. I would anticipate final adoption in January or February
2008.
And I would like to discuss some of the legislation
that Congress is working on. The Transportation Appropriations bill, it's more
formally titled I think, Transportation Housing and Urban Development, or THUD,
continues to make its way through the legislative process.
Each chamber has passed its version of the bill, and
the Senate has appointed conferees, among them, Senator Hutchinson. In the
meantime, Congress will need to adopt a continuing resolution to fund federal
agencies after October 1; I believe the House just did this within the last 48
hours.
We believe the continuing resolution will fund
programs at their current level. As we've discussed previously, both versions of
the Transportation Appropriations bill contained about $3 billion in
rescission --
MR. WILLIAMSON: Stop. If this passes, you're
indicating that the impact on Texas is $259 million?
MR. CHASE: Yes. Plus or minus a million.
MR. WILLIAMSON: And how much in federal rescissions
have already been approved to date?
MR. CHASE: $666 million.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So if the bill passes in its current
form, we will have been rescinded about $900 million?
MR. CHASE: Yes. A little short of a billion dollars
we've returned to the federal government.
MR. WILLIAMSON: And the impact of rescission is, when
we spend a state dollar on a federal aid program, send the invoice to the FHWA
and it's approved, the state dollar gets reimbursed by the federal dollar, which
then goes into Fund Six, and becomes part of our next round of state dollar
expenditures.
MR. SIMMONS: Correct.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So the effect of the rescissions two
years from now, literally is a billion-dollar permanent reduction in our State
Fund Six balance. Assuming we continue to spend state funds.
MR. CHASE: Yes. I believe that to be correct, although
let me talk to James Bass, let's bring James Bass up here in a second to -- or
when I've finished, to --
But it is a billion dollars worth of projects we have
to tell our local and regional planners and us, that do not build. Just take
them off the books, there's no federal money for them. That's the practical
effect.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Thank you.
MR. CHASE: And as the Chairman said, Texas' share is
estimated in this round to be around $259 million.
Included in the House proposal is language restricting
the flexibility of states to work with their local leaders in deciding the
distribution of the rescission. The Senate version of the legislation does not
have that.
Both bills are about $5 billion over the President's
request, and therefore have attracted a veto threat. The Senate added an
amendment by Senator Hutchinson that prohibits the use of funds to consider or
approve an application to permit tolling on federal highways in Texas. Clearly,
her intent is to ban complete toll convergence on interstates.
As you know, no transportation planning body in the
state has any plans to propose such a total conversion, which would under state
law be subject to voter approval.
However, the amendment appears to conflict with some
projects in Dallas, Houston, Fort Worth, San Antonio and Austin, where we've
found a way to add capacity to existing roads by adding tolled lanes or offering
additional drivers a chance to use HOV lanes or to access capacity by paying a
toll.
Remarks in the amendment indicate that is not her
intent, so we will work with her on some clarifying language.
Unfortunately, the preference for omnibus funding
bills is not --
MR. WILLIAMSON: I'm sorry, Coby. I --
MR. CHASE: Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: It's just so much fun to interrupt
you.
You said that the -- her amendment as offered and
accepted if not clarified, would impact some projects in Dallas, Houston, Fort
Worth, San Antonio and Austin.
Now, for those who are just absolutely opposed to the
use of existing right of way for any type of toll project, that would be music
to ears.
But I'm concerned about which projects those are; if
they're projects that we don't consider to be roads of necessity or projects of
necessity, maybe we don't -- it doesn't matter to us either.
Do we have any idea what those projects are?
MR. CHASE: Oh, yes, sir: 635 in Dallas?
MR. WILLIAMSON: The depressing of 635?
MR. CHASE: Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: That's been approved by the MPO?
MR. CHASE: Yes.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay.
MR. CHASE: 820 in Fort Worth.
MR. WILLIAMSON: And which part is that? The funnel
project?
MR. CHASE: No --
MR. WILLIAMSON: Or the fly --
MR. CHASE: -- it's the Tarrant County connector; I
mean the [indiscernible] North.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Really?
MR. CHASE: Yes, sir. U.S. 183 and U.S. 290 here in
Austin.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Where is CAMPO on those two projects?
MR. SIMMONS: I believe they'll be voting next month on
the next phase of the toll plan.
MR. SAENZ: Good morning, Commissioners. For the
record, Amadeo Saenz. CAMPO in this month of October will be voting on the toll
plan that would toll 290 and 183.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Is it expected that that's going to
remain part of their --
MR. SMITH: Based on what we've received in reports
from the district, and the meetings that the MPO has had, it looks like that's
going to be a favorable vote.
MR. WILLIAMSON: What other projects?
MR. CHASE: It's 281 in San Antonio, and I-45, U.S. 59
and U.S. 290 in Houston, which I believe are HOV to HOT re-designations.
MR. WILLIAMSON: But we're in contact with their staff,
and --
MR. CHASE: Oh, absolutely.
MR. WILLIAMSON: -- we're working together to put --
MR. CHASE: It isn't that we're not talking. It's --
we're definitely working towards a solution.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay.
MR. HOLMES: Mr. Chairman, may I ask a question?
MR. WILLIAMSON: Yes, please.
MR. HOLMES: Coby, did the Senator or her staff
indicate that it was not her intention to catch those projects and eliminate
those?
MR. CHASE: Yes, sir.
MR. HOUGHTON: Or like projects, Coby, in the future?
MR. CHASE: Well, these are the ones that would, within
the year that's in this amendment, would be affected.
MR. HOUGHTON: Okay.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So -- there's no threat, for example,
to adding a toll lane to 35 North, from Hillsboro to Dallas if that were to be a
proposal by the MPO. Or is there a threat?
MR. CHASE: Not if it's -- if it's not -- if it doesn't
occur in the next fiscal year, no. There's no threat.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Any other questions?
MR. HOLMES: Just one more --
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay.
MR. HOLMES: -- or two more. This only impacts projects
in the next fiscal year. Is that --
MR. CHASE: Yes, sir.
MR. HOLMES: -- what I understand?
MR. CHASE: Yes. It's in an appropriations bill and if
I understand it correctly, the practical effect is, the United States Department
of Transportation simply can't spend money to approve any of these applications;
it is to do certain things.
MR. HOLMES: You did not mention the toll lanes on
Interstate 10 in Houston. Presumably that has already been approved, and so that
would not be caught up in this amendment. Is that correct?
MR. CHASE: Yes, sir.
MS. ANDRADE: Coby, and didn't all this start from -- I
know in San Antonio I heard a lot about it --
(Laughter.)
MS. ANDRADE: -- is that people feel like we're going
to toll existing lanes. And that's not what we're asking. Is that right?
MR. CHASE: Well, we were -- we've never asked for the
Texas Department of Transportation to unilaterally decide to pick up a piece of
interstate and put tolling on it. Or to toll it.
We -- the state law, Governor Perry and the
Legislature saw to it that TxDOT, by fiat, cannot do such things. However, we do
believe that there are a number of situations that could arise in the future
where it would make sense to put some sort of toll on some part of an interstate
system.
Whether that money is used -- I mean, and I'm not
saying this is a good idea. I'm just saying, by way of example.
The decision possibly could have been made to toll
Interstate 35 through Austin, and build State Highway 130 as a tax road. I mean,
that might have made more sense in the mix.
And it's -- and there are safeguards in there that you
know, a local community would have to vote to do this. You and I have gone out
to -- and not a precise example but a close enough example: you and I have gone
out to see the Alameda Corridor in California, which is a rail project, which
sounds -- from an engineering standpoint it sounds simple.
You take rail lines, drop them below grade so they
don't run through neighborhoods and they can -- and help me, here. I think it
took, to get from the Port of Los Angeles to the other side of downtown Los
Angeles, which you can see standing at the Port of Los Angeles, something like
six or eight hours.
Which really in a -- even in car, you can do it in 30
minutes or 40 minutes. Eliminate all of those so they go -- they don't go
through neighborhoods, they go around, and out.
And when I started here almost 14 years ago, I was
reading about this project; it would pop up in different bills. They couldn't
just go to one place and say, We think this is a good idea, let us arrange our
financing and let's go. It took all sorts of legal maneuvering to get it done.
Katy Freeway project, by way of example here in Texas:
it wasn't a straightforward process. We had to go through all sorts of hoops and
rings of fire and whatever the case may be, to get it. And we got it done, thank
goodness, through everybody's perseverance in that case. But it needs -- we
believe it needs to be more of an automatic process, you apply to do it at one
place and the decision is made, and if part of that is, we don't want -- we want
to eliminate any sort of confusion about what can be done when you're going to
put new lanes on an interstate and toll them.
I mean, you might want to make the decision to toll
old lanes and have the new ones not tolled, or whatever the case may be. We
wanted to match federal law with state law.
And -- or at least, yes, try to make federal law as
flexible as state law. And of course, subject to whatever local voter
approval --
MS. ANDRADE: I think we confuse the public when we
say, We're not going to toll an existing lane, and then we go to Washington and
we say, you know, give us permission to do this.
So I'm not -- is this the right timing, to be asking
for this, and with all of the confusion that's going on? You know, we're trying
to help our public understand what we're doing, but I think that sometimes we --
they may think we're giving them a mixed message.
MR. CHASE: Okay. I agree. And it clearly points out
that, explaining it in a commission meeting for four months and putting it on
the Internet for seven or eight or nine months, clearly -- and mailing it to
local leaders, and -- all over the state, isn't enough.
It just shows that I mean, there are a lot of --
MS. ANDRADE: I think --
MR. CHASE: -- there are a lot of ways that things can
be forgotten or clouded in other things. And there was one small subset of a
much larger agenda. So I don't disagree with you, and as we know, I'm trying
everything I can to get things in public right now.
MS. ANDRADE: And I think those of us that are very
pro-transportation, you know, will look at those things. But the public that,
you know, is trying to deal with daily survival is not going to sit at the
computer and look at these things.
I think we just need to be conscious of that, and --
MR. CHASE: Absolutely.
MS. ANDRADE: -- try to clear our message. Thank you.
MR. CHASE: Absolutely. The preference for omnibus
funding bills which I briefly mentioned a moment ago has not diminished under
Democratic control of Congress. We are hearing that the THUD bill is one of up
to ten that are likely to be rolled into one bill, and the House has done this.
The problem with omnibus funding bills is that they
run into the thousands of pages; they come out of conference with little time to
review them, and even if you are able to read them, there's little opportunity
to amend them.
One of my favorite quotes, really, regarding the last
omnibus bill came from the House Appropriations Chairman himself. He said, I
don't expect people to love this proposal I don't love this proposal. And we
probably have made some wrong choices.
He seems to have been quoting my wife --
(Laughter.)
MR. CHASE: -- that pretty much says it all.
The -- on the -- taking the discussion up in the sky
for just a second, the House approved the Federal Aviation Administration
Re-Authorization bill last week. The proposal re-authorizes the Airport
Improvement Program, which Texas is the shining star in that program. I say
that, not because I'm a Texan but because it's true; and provides $15.8 billion
through 2020. This is a 10 percent increase over the current level.
Included in it is a measure that would raise the
general aviation fuel tax from 21.8 cents per gallon to 35.9 cents per gallon,
and the commercial aviation fuel tax from 19.3 cents per gallon to 24.1 cents
per gallon.
The extra revenue would be dedicated to air traffic
control modernization.
There is some breaking news regarding the Federal
Highway Trust Fund. It will still go insolvent in 2009, but the $4 billion
projected shortfall has not increased since last month, so there's good news.
There is hope on the horizon.
All joking aside, this matter poses a substantial
challenge for Congress. You can be sure that we at the Government and Public
Affairs Division will involve ourselves in the discussions about how to address
that problem and how to fix that shortfall.
I'd like to shift attention to the next federal
transportation bill, whatever will succeed SAFETEA-LU. One --
MR. WILLIAMSON: Is 2009 the end of the current
Authorization Act?
MR. CHASE: Yes. Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Do we have another rescission in 2009?
MR. CHASE: Yes, sir. We do. It is $6 billion nation --
or, it's -- yes. The net effect to Texas would be $600 million more in
rescissions.
MR. WILLIAMSON: And that's written into the bill --
MR. CHASE: Yes.
MR. WILLIAMSON: -- that's not a matter of an
appropriations bill amending the bill. That is going to happen.
MR. CHASE: It's a poison pill at the end of the bill.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So by 2009, we will have removed?
MR. CHASE: A little less than $1.6 billion at least.
MR. WILLIAMSON: At the minimum, less than $1.6 billion
would have been removed.
MR. CHASE: Yes, sir. And one of the ways we plan to
establish and communicate our priorities for the next federal re-authorization
bill is to work with other states and like-minded associations.
I say, re-authorization. But we will actually, if I
sense our discussion, our internal discussions as they are now, we will actually
propose a top-to-bottom restructuring of the federal program, rather than
re-authorizing the current, tangled, unfocused mess that it is.
Congress needs to take a hard look at the roles of
federal, state and local governments, and private industry, to produce an
integrated, goal-driven transportation system.
Included in that should be an emphasis on flexibility
in transportation finance, procurement and operation of existing and new
facilities. Everything needs to be pointed toward a sustainable, multimodal
transportation system.
The bottom line is that, solutions should produce
measurable results, as opposed to a system that simply rewards the process.
At this time I want to merge a few issues that we've
been discussing lately for the past four months. I have dissected the
appropriations bill in every other state and federal law that has impacted our
bottom line. Our chief financial officer, Mr. Bass has explained the effects
that recent legislation has had on our projected cash flow. And Mr. Saenz has
been talking about the need to redirect funding from projects that improve
congestion to projects that preserve our aging highway system.
I want to be crystal clear about what weights our
state when all of these factors converge in sort of a perfect storm. We are
running out of money. If the public does not appreciate this fact yet, I believe
they soon will.
We are going to have to be more active about alerting
our audiences to the reality we face. Toward that end, I make the following
recommendations.
The first step is for our agency to boil down the
problem into effects that everyone can understand. What projects are not going
to move forward because we don't have the money; to answer that question we need
to settle on a projected letting amount that the MPOs can use to prioritize
projects with less money than they were expecting.
The MPOs need to report back to the commission, to the
agency and the commission, what projects will fall off the schedule. I'm not
talking about delaying projects, I'm talking about canceling projects.
We can deploy our administration, commissioners and
district engineers and other personnel to assist the MPOs with this unsavory
task. This list is going to generate some animated discussion, I suspect.
We can't let local officials who sit on MPO boards to
take all of the heat, so we must do our part to explain why this is happening.
We need to tailor the message to those communities
outside MPO boundaries as well. Let's face it, the rural areas are going to take
a disproportionate hit as we shift funding to the metro areas that require the
most maintenance money.
And we need to ensure that legislators are prepared.
Their constituents, their local elected officials and major employers in the
contracting and engineering community who will see a loss of business will be
looking to them for solutions.
James and Amadeo will be before you shortly to convey
some of the numbers behind this situation, but before I conclude, I'd like to
mention Proposition 12, which will be on the ballot in November. Prop 12 is a
constitutional amendment providing for the issuance of general obligation bonds
by the Texas Transportation Commission, in an amount not to exceed $5 billion,
to provide funding for highway improvement projects.
If approved, the Legislature would come back next
session and authorize us to issue that debt. We won't know until then how much
they will authorize and what conditions will be attached.
We are starting to get some inquiries about what we
would do with this money; it's a legitimate question of course. But obviously,
it's too early to say how the money would be spent with any specificity.
We are advising our public information officers to
point out that given the impending funding shift from construction to
maintenance, there will be many projects in the pipeline that will not move
forward unless a significant chunk of new money comes our way. If the full $5
billion is authorized, many more projects will move forward then would be
otherwise possible.
That concludes my remarks, I'll be happy to field any
further questions you might have.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Coby, I'm sure that all of the members
have questions. They may want to delay them until we hear from James and Amadeo.
This is, in your view this is the fourth month we've been discussing --
MR. CHASE: Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: -- the future cash flows. And this is
the schedule last discussed for this item because, our budget starts this month,
or our current operational appropriation starts this month.
And I presume Mr. Saenz is going to make us aware of
the changes that now will be made, as opposed to warning us about the changes
that were going to need to be made?
MR. CHASE: Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: And I want to be clear about
Proposition 12. There is no authorizing statute; if the voters approve
Proposition 12 in November, it will still be, at the very least, 30 days, 60
days after the Legislature convenes, in January 2009, before we could begin the
six-month process of issuing the bonds?
MR. CHASE: Yes. At the earliest. At the earliest.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Is that the case, Mr. Jackson?
MR. CHASE: Make it a little longer than that.
MR. JACKSON: Unless there was an emergency
appropriation, it wouldn't go in effect until September. And then that would
just start the process.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So we're, at the -- probably two years
away.
MR. JACKSON: I'm sorry, that's September '09.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay. Thank you, Mr. Jackson.
Okay. Members, you can question or dialogue with Coby
now, or we can hear from Mr. Saenz and Mr. Bass. What's your preference?
VOICE: Saenz.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Mr. Saenz, please.
Will that be accepting to you?
MR. SAENZ: Sure.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Mr. Bass, please. Does James know he's
going first, Mr. Saenz?
MR. SAENZ: Yes.
MR. WILLIAMSON: We used to call him Fast Jimmy Bass;
we now call him, No Money Jimmy Bass.
MR. BASS: Broker than the Ten Commandments.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Oh, my goodness.
(Laughter.)
MR. BASS: Good morning. For the record, I'm James
Bass, Chief Financial Officer at TxDOT. Just to comment on an earlier discussion
when Coby was up here, the effect of the rescissions we've had in place, and
those that are expected to come this year, and the billion dollars -- yes. In
simplest terms, that means, over a period of time we will have $1 billion less
to spend than what we had planned and expected.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I think, James, that one of the
things -- I was listening carefully to Hope's observations about communication
in San Antonio and -- on the one hand I believe that there's some validity in
self-critique.
On the other hand, I do believe people choose to hear
what they want to hear, and choose to interpret it like they want to interpret
it in some cases.
But you know, there's plenty of fault to pass around
all of us, including myself. But I think people generally don't understand the
flow of cash, out of their pocketbook, to Washington, D.C. back to the state of
Texas and out to the contracting community.
And it's just always good to sort of reinforce how
that works.
MR. BASS: I also think in some discussions I've had in
the past couple of months, just the way the department normally operates on
construction projects is not very well understood or known; such that when we
receive an appropriation for a two-year period, people think, Well, there's that
much more new construction that's going to be going on.
And I would say roughly 40 percent of a budget that we
receive for a two-year period on that first day, September 1, 40 percent of that
cash flow is for projects that have already been awarded, and are already
active. so it's not bringing new and additional projects; a lot of that money is
just going to make the ongoing progress payments on projects that have already
started.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So in other words, we schedule
things -- most of our projects last at least a year, and -- big money projects;
some as long as five. So we have a construction schedule and a payment schedule,
that crosses appropriation bills.
MR. BASS: Yes.
MR. WILLIAMSON: And we can only pay out what we're
appropriated to pay out. And generally, we don't ask the Legislature to
appropriate us more authority than our estimated revenue plus bond proceeds,
might present themselves during the two-year period, plus the balance forward.
So we're paying for example the I-10 project, we were
appropriated money in this current biennium --
MR. BASS: Uh-huh.
MR. WILLIAMSON: -- that is for that project, which is
five years old now.
MR. BASS: Right. And one thing just to clarify is, as
you know, the Legislature makes their appropriation based upon the Comptroller's
estimates.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Yes.
MR. BASS: And the reason I bring that up is because
over time, people have expressed a concern that perhaps TxDOT was trying to game
the system, and that we were low-balling our revenue estimate, so when the
Legislature had to make their decision on how to allocate the state's resources,
we were lowering that number of resources from Fund Six, knowing that during the
Session or during the biennium when those revenues came in higher, we would get
them through the estimated feature.
Number one, we would never try to do anything like
that, because number one, it's wrong, and number two, people are going to pretty
soon discover it, and we wouldn't want to be in that position.
But the system is protected against any one agency
trying to game the system, the appropriations system, through that mechanism,
because it is the Comptroller, and their revenue estimates upon which the
appropriations are based.
So we can't assume we're going to have a billion
dollars more than we really think and try and entice the Legislature to give us
that appropriation, nor can we low-ball that number, and say, Hey, they're only
going to give us this, so they won't be able to give more money to DPS and when
that revenue actually comes in, it will automatically flow to us.
It just -- the system is not designed that way, and
would never work that way.
MR. WILLIAMSON: But with regard to the rescissions,
with regard to most federal money, the only way we -- that money comes into our
fund, the state's fund is by first expending state gas taxes on a project.
And then giving the invoice to the Federal Highway
Administration, and they approve it, and they reimburse a percentage of it back
to us, and that goes into our fund and becomes identified as state proceeds.
MR. BASS: Correct.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So in effect, if there's one, point --
what did you say it was, Coby? 1.6?
MR. CHASE: A little under.
MR. WILLIAMSON: There's $1.6 billion less available to
reimburse state expenditures, at a point in the future which I presume you're
fixing to incorporate into your ten-year budget, that's $1.6 billion less in
state funds that will be circulated back through the system.
MR. BASS: Correct. And if I might, one other thing, to
clarify what I've learned over time, we've often said as a department that we're
pay as you go. That means many different things to many different people. And
even, there are some states who say, they are pay as you go, but they are pay as
you, encumbrance.
So if they are going to award a $30 million project,
to be paid for by gas tax, what they do is, they wait until they accumulate $30
million of cash, and they set that aside on Day One. They then go award the
project, and pay for the project out of that.
To my knowledge and those I've worked with over the
years, TxDOT has never operated that way. We do pay as you go, cash flow. So we
look at that $30 million project and expect it to pay out over the next 36
months, and we know what we think those payments are going to be, we know what
we think the payments are going to be on projects we've already awarded, we know
what we and the Comptroller think are the revenues coming in, and we look to see
if we're going to have enough cash on hand to make those payments, every month.
It's much more aggressive than the other pay as you go
model, but the result of it is that projects get delivered and open to traffic
much sooner, than under that other encumbrance method.
But many people don't understand the nature and the
cash flow and the uncertainty that we deal with on a daily basis.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So if you, for example, to be very
simplistic, if you had a one billion dollar contract that was scheduled to take
five years to complete, and the payment cycle was pegged on certain milestones
that told you, every month over the next 60 months, we're going to pay whatever
that works out to be, $80, $160 billion -- $160 million? Oh, $80 million?
And if one or two variables were not correctly
estimated, either the cost of the contract or the flow of cash from the federal
government, state government or local government --
MR. BASS: Uh-huh.
MR. WILLIAMSON: -- then you would have to do one of
two things, I'm presuming: Extend the contract, to reduce the monthly payments.
Or re-scope the project mid-stream, and renegotiate with the contractor, to
reduce the cost back to match up your cash flow.
MR. BASS: Not exactly. What we had done previously, in
the long history of -- if we saw expenditures accelerating, going out faster
than what we had planned, the adjustment was on future letting.
We would just award fewer projects than what we had
expected, and delay them to free up cash to make the accelerated payments on the
other project.
Through legislation in 2001, 2003, and actually thanks
to Representative Pickett he was the sponsor of the short-term borrowing; it
allows the department to borrow on a short-term basis for cash flow purposes.
And what that does is, it gives us more of a time
period to make those adjustments, rather than -- I think the, Wes Heald
described it before, we had short-term borrowing, and a situation would arise,
we would have to slam on the brakes.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Not tap the brakes?
MR. BASS: Not tap the brakes --
MR. WILLIAMSON: Oh.
MR. BASS: -- slam on the brakes. Now, through the
ability we have through the short-term borrowing, we are able to tap the brakes,
take -- and we have more of an implementation or a transition period to adjust
and manage those cash flows.
And that has been tremendously beneficial to the
operations of the department.
MR. WILLIAMSON: But nonetheless, your decision I
presume, or the decision of the administration would be, not to slow down I-10,
to stay the course and finish it; we just wouldn't get to 281.
MR. BASS: Correct. Rather than Project X being awarded
in January, it may be June or July, whatever that works out, in order to free up
sufficient cash flow to make payments on the existing projects. That's always
going to be priority number one.
And then we look at the cash flow on those existing
projects, see how much available cash flow exists going into the future, and how
many additional projects we can plug into that cash flow.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So to the point Hope was making
earlier about San Antonio and 281 and 1604, I don't know, Members, how you all
deal with, when you see these controversies pop up in the media; I tend to try
to stay away from it and just let local leadership work out -- work it out with
our staff.
But I do read the newspapers, and it appears that
there are some in your area that believe that a certain amount of gas tax cash
flow was reserved for 281. If what I understand correctly is the department
system, not just with regard to Bexar County but with regard to every county in
the state, our district engineers are working with local and regional planners
to identify and schedule projects on the assumption that certain cash flow
behaviors occur.
And then as those behaviors don't -- either do occur
or don't occur, an adjustment is made throughout the state. So everyone is
racing ahead, falling behind, racing ahead, falling behind, depending upon the
cost of the projects, and the flow of cash.
MR. BASS: Yes. And while the Comptroller typically
comes out with two estimates during a biennial cycle, the biennial revenue
estimate before the Session, and then a certified revenue estimate sometime
after the Session, that data and information's valuable to us, but it's not
timely on our day to day operations.
So we actually produce a monthly forecast of the
inflows and outflows of the State Highway Fund, to help guide the direction of,
how much can we afford to award in projects, this month, next month, two months
from now.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Somebody down there had a question?
MR. UNDERWOOD: I'm just trying to understand -- now,
the rescissions play effect of this, then?
MR. BASS: Right.
MR. UNDERWOOD: They really threw a monkey wrench in
the works, is what it boils down to, don't they?
MR. BASS: Right. When we work through the Districts
with the regional leaders, through the -- on the MPOs, they're looking out well
beyond the current appropriation bill. They're looking out ten, eleven years,
looking at those revenue forecasts that we think are going to come in, not only
from state gas tax, but also what's going to be available from the federal
government.
And so when we hear from the federal government that
they're going to take back some authority to get reimbursed, from us, and that
the Highway Trust Fund is going to hit a zero balance in 2009, 2010, you can
imagine two, three years ago, that was not built into the federal projection.
Once we started hearing from the Office of Management
and Budget on the federal side, from FHWA, US DOT and others, those plans have
to be adjusted. That there will not be as much money as originally planned,
which equals, there's not going to be as many projects.
Another factor that you well know, you may still have
$3 billion even if the revenue estimate was spot on; how many projects or how
many lane miles will that deliver? Well, what's inflation been? And from 1997 to
2007, a ten-year period, our highway cost index doubled.
So what used to cost, my $30 million project I
mentioned earlier, if that was in 1997, it would now cost $60 million to build
the same project, just ten years later.
MR. UNDERWOOD: James, I want to make sure I understand
this. We spend a dollar on construction, went out building roads; we turn the
invoice over to the government, and they pay us basically 90 cents back.
MR. BASS: Well, they --
MR. UNDERWOOD: Or I'm saying, some form back; they
don't give us the dollar back. Isn't that correct?
MR. BASS: Correct.
MR. UNDERWOOD: And then all of a sudden, we go along,
we have a rescission, they go, We were just kidding. We're not going to give you
90 cents, we're going to give you 80 cents.
MR. BASS: Uh-huh.
MR. UNDERWOOD: Okay.
MR. BASS: Well, what --
MR. UNDERWOOD: I just want to make sure I understand
this, and --
(Simultaneous discussion.)
MR. BASS: -- a few steps in that, and once we've got
it, gotten an agreement with Federal Highway on a project, they do not, to my
knowledge have they ever come in and said, No, we're going to change the amount
we're going to give you, or the percentage we're going to give you for that
specific project.
MR. UNDERWOOD: No, I know. But what they do is, they
take it away from the coming years.
MR. BASS: Correct. The future projects we thought, Hey
these ten projects we're going to be able to get federal participation on, when
that money is pulled back from us, it's then either eight or nine projects that
are going to be able to get federal participation, and if that revenue stream is
lost, then those other projects nine and ten will be delayed, and be started in
some future year.
MR. UNDERWOOD: Thank you.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Continue, James.
MR. BASS: With that intro, if I could get the overhead
on -- thank you. One of the things we spoke about last November, December, and I
think they were discussions during the Session were, the cash flows within
TxDOT, how that money was going to be spent.
And I apologize, but I guess I'm highlighting the
challenges we face in communication by putting this chart up on the screen.
(Laughter.)
MR. BASS: The -- this shows the cash flows within
TxDOT. And the first thing I'd point out is, a lot of times in our discussion,
at the dais here, we're talking programming or contract. These are not contract
awards; this is actual cash flow. Progress payments on construction projects.
And that blue line --
MR. WILLIAMSON: Wait.
MR. BASS: Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Now, to me and I suspect to the other
commission members, cash flow is different than project payments on a
construction contract. So which is it? Is this cash arriving, or is this cash
leaving?
MR. BASS: This is cash leaving. So if, in year 2005,
we had signed a $300 million contract, you would typically see $100 million
going out, in 2005, $100 million going out in 2006, and $100 million going out
in 2007, for that one $300 million project that had been awarded. When you --
MR. WILLIAMSON: So, and the projects we stack on top
of each other to get to the top line?
MR. BASS: Yes. The first line there, the big blue
block, is the maintenance expenditures, maintenance and preservation
expenditures from the department.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay, stop right there. When Governor
Perry ascended, one of the first things that he wished we would do, was truly
separate expenses related to maintenance from expenses related to preservation,
from expenses related to rehabilitation, and expenses related to new
construction for added mobility capacity.
Do these estimates reflect that separation?
MR. BASS: Yes.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So the blue, when you say,
maintenance, you really mean, maintenance.
MR. BASS: And a broader term, preservation. And maybe
they provide an example. There's a 35 year old two-lane highway. And demands are
such that it -- we're going to expand it to a four-lane highway.
The existing two lanes need to be replaced. We would
go in, and replace the existing two lanes and add Lane 3 and 4. The replacement
of the existing two is going to show in the blue line there, the blue block, as
major rehabilitation, maintenance, preservation, whatever term you prefer.
Lanes 3 and 4, where they're adding capacity to the
system, would show up in the green block.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So in the instance of an unexpected
drop in cash flow, cash inflow, we would drop the expansion of Lane 3 and 4, and
simply rehabilitate Lane 1 and 2.
MR. BASS: Yes. Similar if you're at your home I would
imagine, and replacing your roof and wanting to add a room, and something
happens to your family income, you're likely going to continue to replace the
roof, but you're going to take a serious look and revisit whether or not you
need to add that additional room to your house.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay. So blue is scheduled maintenance
expenditures.
MR. BASS: Right. And mobility is, the green line is
mobility, and that is mobility paid for by the gas tax, by traditional Fund Six
revenues.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So this is the amount of contracts
that we projected would be paid, for new lanes from tax receipts?
MR. BASS: Yes.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay.
MR. BASS: Then the red line just above that, is debt
service for the Proposition 14 Bonds. So the payday loans we've referred to in
the past few months, these are projects that we've accelerated, and now we're
having to pay the debt service associated with those projects.
MR. WILLIAMSON: In the construction or the actual
delivery, those projects occurred prior to '07?
MR. BASS: Right. Some of them you'll actually see in
the light purple -- I apologize, the colors aren't too distinguishable up on the
chart there.
But just below the orange --
MR. WILLIAMSON: Right here?
MR. BASS: -- yes, that light purple one. That is
expenditures of Proposition 14 proceeds. So that line or block is building the
projects; the red line is paying the debt service for building those projects
sooner.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay. You skipped over the light blue
line; what's that?
MR. BASS: The light blue line is the Texas Mobility
Fund, proceeds from the Texas Mobility Fund, going to build mobility projects,
primarily added capacity projects. That program allows for 30-year debt, and
this shows us expending that in the neighborhood of $6.2 to $6.5 billion.
There is one thing to point out. Because it is a
30-year program, every time we move into a new fiscal year, there's a new year
that slides into, and a new set of revenues that slide into that 30-year window.
The issue, and it will be a policy decision that we
have not yet brought to the commission, once we get to that point, once we fully
utilize that program, we're going to have outstanding debt at our limit.
And if you recall in this, if the Comptroller is
projecting $110 million of revenue to the Mobility Fund in a particular year, we
can have no more than $100 million in debt service. It requires a 110 coverage
ratio.
Well, our plan is to fully utilize that program, and
so eventually, we will be at that $100 million level, from Year One through 29.
So even though year 30 becomes available to us, we will not have the ability to
do a standard bond issue; that is a current interest bond where we're actually
making interest payments each year, because we'll already be bumping our head on
the ceiling.
So the only way we would have the ability to get to
that money out in year 30 is what's called a capital appreciation bond, or you
might think of it as a balloon payment, or a balloon loan. Where you loan the
money and you make no payment until the very end.
We can certainly do that, and use that money, but it
will be much more expensive debt than what we've had before. So even in 2011 and
2012, there may be some additional capacity of the Mobility Fund, that's not
reflected on the sheet, but that is a broader policy issue that has not been
addressed yet, because we're still living within the original capacity.
MR. HOUGHTON: Not only policy issue, James, but could
be a legislative issue.
MR. BASS: Correct.
MR. HOUGHTON: As to how, if we get the legislation
tweaked, to allow us to continue to move on out.
MR. BASS: Or if there are additional revenues that are
brought into that program --
MR. HOUGHTON: Right.
MR. BASS: -- such that our ceiling gets raised, then
we would have the ability to make those current interest payments each of the
first 29 years, and that is cheaper, less expensive debt.
MR. HOUGHTON: But right now, this what we have.
MR. BASS: Correct.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Where's the cash outflows related to
repayment of the debt, on --
MR. BASS: On the Mobility Fund?
MR. WILLIAMSON: -- the Mobility Fund.
MR. BASS: They are not on this sheet. The thinking on
that is, because prior to the Texas Mobility Fund, those revenues were not being
expended on transportation.
They were brought into the transportation sector, so
it didn't -- payment of that debt service did not adjust our plan out into the
future.
If you contrast that with the State Highway Fund, or
Proposition 14, that debt service is being paid by gas tax and vehicle
registration fees and federal reimbursements, that were always a part of the
plan and going into it.
So we looked at the Mobility Fund as a mechanism to
build additional projects and to accelerate the delivery of those projects.
Proposition 14 merely allowed us, I don't want to say, merely, because it's a
positive, powerful tool, but it allowed us to deliver projects faster. But
nothing additional.
MR. HOUGHTON: But that's not new money --
MR. BASS: Correct.
MR. HOUGHTON: -- Fourteen is just an advance on that
gas tax money.
MR. BASS: But since the revenue is dedicated the pay
the debt service on Mobility Fund, previously were not being spent on
transportation, we saw that as new money. It was a big win for the
transportation sector.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Well, I don't want to pick nits with
you, but you know, we've been sharing this data with leadership across the
street, and I would think that at some point in the future they might want to
understand the Mobility Fund unencumbered versus encumbered.
Because I had one member comment that, Your Mobility
Fund is always ongoing, so your construction, the blue line shouldn't be
dropping off in the Year 2011, and I had somewhat of a difficult time explaining
to her that, you know, when you borrow up to the 29th year, all you've really
got left is the 30th year --
MR. BASS: Right.
MR. WILLIAMSON: -- which is not very much.
MR. BASS: Right. And it gets very expensive, to get
access to that money 30 years out without making any payment between now and
Year 30. You're able to do it, but it's much more expensive. And so that's why
it's more of a policy decision that hasn't really been broached yet.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay, continue.
MR. BASS: The very thin line, just below the orange
block there, is payments on pass-through tolls. Again, these are the payments
back to the local government, so -- or in some cases, private sector, that's
developed and initially financed that project.
So the payments on the pass-through tolls are for
projects that have already been opened, and open to traffic in prior years.
Because again, this is cash flow, dollars going out the door.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So expenditures on pass-through toll
projects aren't reflected here either.
MR. BASS: Correct. Because those are being --
MR. WILLIAMSON: They're reflected 25 years out.
MR. BASS: They're reflected earlier in there, and they
were covered by either the local governmental entity, or the private entity that
initially funded the construction, or a large portion of the construction.
MR. WILLIAMSON: But from our standpoint in painting
the picture for the Legislature, the picture for pass-through tolls is painted
as a small amount growing over time. Because our obligation is to reimburse
based on the traffic count.
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay.
MR. BASS: Yes. Then what we had in the top block up
there as orange is comprehensive development agreements, projects being
developed by the private sector by bringing in private equity to develop those
projects on a go forward basis. And that was the picture back in November,
December, and early in the Legislative Session; early in calendar 2007.
And if you've absorbed that and don't have any
additional questions, I'll flip to what that picture looks like today.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Well, just to put a point on it: Our
projections in December '06 led us to plan towards a construction budget of
about $11 and a half billion in 2010.
MR. BASS: Yes. Including debt service on the Prop 14,
and pass-through toll payments.
MR. WILLIAMSON: And that's Fiscal Year 2010, 24 months
away.
MR. BASS: Yes.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay.
MR. BASS: We now look at how that current picture
looks. They're transitioned to the sombrero. The -- you can see there are some
changes. Some of them may not jump out at you initially.
But if we focus, starting at the bottom moving up, you
see that the blue bar near the far right has increased; and I think Mr. Saenz
will talk about that more following me.
Pavement scores have declined I think more rapidly
than expected, planned, and therefore to maintain those current assets is going
to take more money. In addition to just the paving scores, as we all know, the
cost of asphalt and everything else has gone up. So in order to maintain the
same number of lane miles, it's going to take more money. So that takes a chunk
up.
We then see, because of that, the green bar and the
cash flow go away in 2011. And again I want to just highlight that this is cash
flow. So if we run out of cash flow, for mobility projects in 2011, we have to
back up, into 2010 and 2009, there's no cash flow going into the future for
these projects, so we cannot award those projects in 2009 or 2010, because of
the cash flow.
The debt service has stayed the same. The next line
there for the Mobility Fund has stayed the same. And the expenditure of Prop 14
bonds has stayed the same, as has the pass-through toll line.
You will notice though that in aggregate, the top of
that pass-through toll line is lower than what it was prior to the Session. One
question would be, Well, why is that?
One thing they usually point out is that, during the
Legislative Session, in current law, there is a transfer to be made from the
State Highway Fund to the TERP Fund, Texas Emissions Reduction Plan Fund.
And prior to the Session, that transfer was in place
for 2009 and 2010. Starts out at roughly $92, $94 million a year, and then it
grows. In 2010 it would have been $95, $96 million.
During the Legislative Session, that transfer was
extended such that we will make that transfer in 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015.
So it was extended five years, at roughly $100 million a year, that's half a
billion dollars less that we'll have from a cash flow perspective to maintain
the system for mobility projects or whatever.
And it's just a difference in what the plan was in
November-December, as what the plan is today. There's less money that will be
available to the department.
In addition to that, you know there are other
increases, there are other agencies that operate out of the State Highway Fund.
DPS troopers received a payroll increase. Not suggesting not well deserved. It's
simply money that wasn't in the plan before, that is now going to DPS and the
plan now.
MR. WILLIAMSON: How much was that?
MR. BASS: The -- I believe, I should have brought the
number with me, is what I believe. Believe for the biennium it's roughly $50
million.
And then in addition to that, there's additional
initiatives managed by the Department of Public Safety associated with border
security, and a significant amount of that is funded from the State Highway
Fund.
And I apologize, I would hesitate to quote you a
number off the top of my head, but I can certainly get it for you.
MR. WILLIAMSON: While we're hearing from Mr. Saenz,
can you produce that?
MR. BASS: Yes.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So that's TERP and DPS. Were there any
other additional, unplanned-for transfers?
MR. BASS: There were some, but I would say the other
ones really were not material, just in the numbers that we're talking about.
Those are the two major ones that stick out.
MR. HOUGHTON: The CDAs that you are -- that you have
on top of the Sombrero there, identify -- is that the 121 Project, is that
the --
MR. BASS: Six thirty-five --
MR. HOUGHTON: Six thirty-five --
MR. BASS: -- One sixty-one --
MR. HOUGHTON: -- One sixty-one --
MR. BASS: NTE, DFW connector.
MR. HOUGHTON: Right.
MR. BASS: Those projects. And so as we move to the top
of the sombrero, the orange part --
MR. HOUGHTON: So you lop off -- you just lop just --
I'm not picking on NTTA or North Texas, you lop off $3 billion, that's one
project. Which is safe to say you could shave that, that would be a big piece of
that sombrero?
MR. BASS: That would be a big piece of the sombrero,
yes.
MR. HOUGHTON: So, one project --
MR. BASS: Yes.
MR. HOUGHTON: -- had that impact on -- okay.
MR. BASS: And so, but the real impact is, you see in
2010, '11, and '12 there is no orange in there. And the reason you have a slope
is just because of the, it's an area-graph rather than a bar chart.
But there's nothing in 2010, '11, or '12. And that's
because -- and some of it's been confusing, surprise, surprise, the word of the
day, in our discussions earlier about what the department can do or can't do
after Senate Bill 792.
As you all know, there's a moratorium on projects to
allow the private sector to collect and operate a toll road until September 1,
2009. There is the ability for TxDOT, now there are projects that are exempt
from that moratorium, and those are the ones you see --
MR. HOUGHTON: Right.
MR. BASS: -- that are, remain in the orange portion up
there. There is, in law a sunset on our ability to enter into a contract with a
private sector that includes private sector financing. That sunset date is
August 31, 2009.
And I may have my dates slip, but as you can tell they
are just one day apart. And so some of our responses to questions are, can we do
X, can we do Y, and the answer is yes, for the next 24 months.
And so, looking at 87 projects that we've been tasked
to look at and visit with the local tolling authorities and see who is going to
move forward with those, if we want to deliver those through the use of private
equity, our ability to do that ends at the end of Fiscal Year 2009.
So we would have 24 months, and just the logistics
working with other parties and being able to do that, obviously all 87 projects
will not be done in the next 24 months, so there is a loss of the ability of the
department to deliver those projects utilizing private equity. And that's why we
see the orange disappear in the last three years of this chart, and going
forward.
Now, we're able to continue -- I apologize. We are
able to continue managed-lane projects, or design and build projects that don't
involve private equity, until 2011. But again, there's no private equity;
there's not incoming revenue from the private sector on a design-build project.
MR. HOUGHTON: But a big part of our project was the
orange, to sustain us into the future --
MR. BASS: Yes.
MR. HOUGHTON: -- to fill in the $86 billion dollar
gap.
MR. BASS: Yes.
MR. WILLIAMSON: James, on pass-through toll cash flow
line, I'm curious. We have on the agenda for the day a pretty substantial
pass-through proposal, or recommendation from staff. Do the payments associated
with that pass-through, are they reflected in this cash flow projection?
MR. BASS: Yes. What we've done in the out years is
looked at pass-through, and again the existing projects that are already under
agreement, and those to come, and somewhat of a soft cap or a planning cap is to
have the maximum payments -- because if you'll recall on all these agreements,
we have a maximum annual payment and a minimum annual payment.
And within that band, actual traffic will dictate how
much we pay. To be conservative on cash flow, this assumes that we're going to
hit the maximum on every one of those projects. Just to make sure we have the
cash on hand, if and when those payments are due.
We have a soft planning cap of $250 million that the
existing ones you've already authorized plus the one you're going to consider
today, would fit within that planning cap that we have.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Amadeo, I'm going to want to ask you
some questions about that, so be prepared, please.
MS. ANDRADE: I'd like to clarify something. You said,
others to come on this pass-through. Are those -- do you include those pending
applications, that we've received?
MR. BASS: The ones that we've put in to date are the
ones that have been executed and fully approved by the commission. You'll recall
it's a two-step process. So the ones that have been fully approved, whether
we've executed them or not, are in there. And there is enough money for the one
for you to consider at today's meeting.
However, as we go forward with all of the
applications, in looking at the cash flow, I can't tell you that every
application we've received for pass-through tolls, that we're going to have
sufficient cash flow in the out years to enter into agreements on --
MS. ANDRADE: So those are not included in there --
MR. BASS: -- those projects.
MS. ANDRADE: -- okay. Thank you.
MR. HOLMES: Mr. Chairman, may I --
MR. WILLIAMSON: Please.
MR. HOLMES: James, if I look at this, it appears that
unless there is a change in funding mechanisms for the department, there is
basically no money for new capacity at all after '11. Is that correct?
MR. BASS: The one question would be, I would just
clarify the policy issue yet to be made on the Mobility Fund, and how and if to
access that Year 30 revenue as it comes in --
MR. HOLMES: Which would be --
MR. BASS: -- but absent that --
MR. HOLMES: -- extremely small, and a zero coupon,
30-year note is a very significant and difficult policy issue --
MR. BASS: Right.
MR. HOLMES: -- to get your arms around.
MR. BASS: The issue to look at is, yes. That leverage
factor --
MR. HOLMES: Yes, that's true --
MR. BASS: -- and then try and estimate what inflation
is going to be, or when we might have access to that money under different
circumstances. But yes --
MR. SIMMONS: Commissioner, I just want to make sure,
there will -- we'll need to stop adding capacity projects, probably in '08.
Those are payouts on projects that we're letting go.
MR. HOUGHTON: That was my question, yes --
MR. HOLMES: That's a good point, Steve. These would be
expenditures.
MR. SIMMONS: Correct.
MR. HOLMES: And expenditures are delayed by two or
three years, which means that no new project's approved beginning in about
twelve months.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Yes. We're actually paying cash today
for projects that the department executed in 2005.
MR. HOLMES: Right. And some, like --
MR. BASS: Right. And 2004, and 2003.
MR. HOLMES: -- well, it --
MR. HOLMES: Now, if you assume that the $5 billion
general revenue bond passed on November, and you assume that those bond proceeds
are made available by the Legislature, that really couldn't start until 2010
anyway, roughly.
MR. BASS: Right. And --
MR. HOLMES: And it would be -- it wouldn't even
approach the kind of funding that we have historically utilized for new
capacity. Might be a billion or so a year.
MR. BASS: And one of the things we're in a guessing
game unfortunately, since there is no enabling legislation, we don't know what
that enabling legislation is going to look at.
And if it will -- if the Legislature will choose to
give specific direction to the commission on how they want to see the program
implemented on certain areas of the state, or certain types of projects, or --
MR. HOUGHTON: You mean, earmarks?
MR. BASS: Anything and everything. Or, if it will just
be open and broad, and say, you know, to develop transportation projects needed
in the state.
MR. SIMMONS: I think the example is, the Prop 14 where
they said, 20 percent had to be spent on safety projects. And there was numerous
bills during the last Session that, another 20 percent had to be spent on border
infrastructure, and another 20 percent for something else. So, that's what I
think is, James is alluding to.
(Simultaneous discussion.)
MR. BASS: Well, one of the things that's difficult if
I may, the -- we get new money 24 months from now, and we find out 23 months
from now that we're going to get it. You know, go start building projects, with
it is the expectation of many people.
Well, the right of way likely is not acquired, and the
design plans and environmental process has not been completed. Because the
option is, if we said, Hey, yes we have $5 billion and we're going to go award
$5 billion on projects you know, next month, and get that construction started.
That would mean that we, within this tight, revenue
cash flow, we had spent and acquired right of way, environmental process and
engineering plans, on projects that we weren't expecting to let for years and
years.
When we could have freed up that right of way,
engineering money, and environmental money, to try and gain a balance between
the whole development cycle for our projects. So yes, once we have the all-go
sign, I would imagine it's going to take some time to do all of the development
work, to get to actual construction.
And that's what is difficult from a planning
perspective, and that's why the department deals with ten, eleven year plans, to
make sure that all of those pieces fit together efficiently.
MR. HOLMES: The point I was working towards was that
while that $5 billion potential bond money availability would be very helpful,
it doesn't really come close to addressing the full needs of the department.
MR. BASS: Correct.
MR. HOLMES: Of the state.
MR. HOUGHTON: Well, you touched on it, Mr. Chairman I
guess this may be for a little later. But you touched on the issue of new
construction, stopping in or greatly reducing in this year; fiscal year '08. Is
that an accurate statement.
MR. BASS: Yes.
MR. HOUGHTON: So in other words, we would not be
adding new capacity to the system beginning this year. Could, could.
MR. BASS: Yes. I think this year there will be some,
and Amadeo I think will speak to that in more detail than I'm prepared to right
now. I think there will be some in 2008, and perhaps a little in '09. But yes,
you're definitely seeing a decline --
MR. HOUGHTON: And what you --
MR. BASS: -- and this is something we've talked about
for --
MR. HOUGHTON: -- so what you're talking about is,
sealcoats and overlays --
MR. BASS: Yes.
MR. HOUGHTON: -- to preserve the system, the integrity
of the system.
MR. BASS: And we, as I was mentioning, we've talked
about this for years. We talked about the bubble, if you will --
MR. HOUGHTON: Right.
MR. BASS: -- the Mobility Fund would provide to us, of
influx of cash flow. And that bubble was increased by Proposition 14 and the $3
billion, we had the -- originally we had the ability to access through that.
And so this is going to create a bubble, and it's --
there's an end to every bubble, and we're on the down slope.
Now, another thing in addition to this $5 billion
Constitutional Amendment, the Legislature increased the capacity of the
Proposition 14 program from $3 billion to $6 billion. But when you look at the
green and red bars on this chart, what we've been able to do with the $3 billion
that we've moving forward on is to accelerate mobility projects, and then take
the debt service away from mobility projects in the future.
And the way I think of it is, Well, in Year 18 you're
going to be making a payment. Do you want to be paying the bondholders and the
investors in Year 18 for a project that's been open for 18 years, or do you want
to be paying a contractor who is working on that project in Year 18.
Well, out of that $3 billion, we're paying the
investors. If we were to tap into that second $3 billion layer of the program,
the debt service would start coming out of the maintenance funds, given our
current cash flow projections.
And so again, that is a large policy issue --
MR. HOUGHTON: Yes.
MR. BASS: -- do you, does the commission, think that
that is a prudent course of action to take, to build new projects today, and
reduce future maintenance and future flexibility going forward.
MR. WILLIAMSON: We're not going to do that. Questions
of James?
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: James, make yourself available for a
moment, if you would. Amadeo?
MR. BASS: If I may, I'm going to run upstairs real
quick to get the information to you.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I want to know -- I want an answer, a
crystal-clear answer to the following question: How much additional Highway Fund
Six revenue was transferred in the current appropriations bill compared to the
previous appropriations bill.
MR. BASS: Okay.
MR. SAENZ: Good morning, Commissioners, Mr. Simmons, I
was going to call you Mr. Behrens for a little bit.
For the record, Amadeo Saenz, Assistant Executive
Director for Engineering Operations. And just to kind of continue with the
discussion item that the -- Coby and James have expressed, and a lot of the
things that they've covered or are going to be repeated in my presentation.
And of course we have, our goals are to improve
mobility, and of course as we say, reduce congestion, but improve mobility,
improve safety, improve air quality, we want to support economic opportunity and
we want to also make sure that we maintain our assets.
To meet our goal will require billions of dollars more
than what our current tax money brings us. You will recall that the Texas
Metropolitan Mobility Plan estimated that $86 billion was needed to address what
was needed to reduce congestion by 2025.
Maintenance and rehab, and we've been talking for the
last four months, we say that to meet our goal by 2012, we need to spend an
additional $6 billion to get to that goal of 90 percent of our roads to be in
good or better condition.
Some of the impacts that we've been discussing over
the last few months: We discussed inflation and the Highway Cost Index; if you
recall, when we looked at it between 2002 and 2006 we had an increase of 58
percent. In 2002 to 2007, it had gone up 73 percent.
That was an estimated number that I gave you in May;
we have gone through the Fiscal Year 2007 and it actually turned out to be 62
percent. So we made a little headway with respect to the cost, between '06 and
'07, or between '02 and '07 but it's still 62 percent more. It cost us 62
percent more to build a project, the same project in 2007 that it cost us in
2002.
We discussed the rescissions a little while ago, we --
have given up $666 million. We expect that another $259 million that happened
this year, and of course into SAFETEA-LU is an additional $600 million that will
hit at the end of SAFETEA-LU in 2009.
Additionally, AASHTO has projected that the Highway
Trust Fund is going to go into the negative in 2009. Original estimates were
around $700 million, but now, their estimate is $4.3 billion. This could have an
impact of $16 billion in projects that could be affected, because just like
James was saying, a project -- projects are let, and you pay them over time.
To be able to make up $4.3 billion in one year, that
could affect about four times that much. And that's what AASHTO has been talking
about.
In 2009 we also have some diversions from Fund Six,
$1.57 billion as part of our appropriations bill. That's a 15 percent increase
of what was in our appropriations bill for '06 and '07. And of course, 792
restricted the tools that we had, and the access to private money.
Planning, you know, versus cash flow. Our districts,
as we've talked about, we plan over a longer horizon; we plan over a ten-year
horizon, we also have our long-range plans that are 25 years. But over that
ten-year period, we look at what we have in state and federal dollars, what we
project in state and federal dollars as money coming in, and we project what our
projected lettings will be, or projected programming, which eventually leads to
lettings, will be over the years.
And based on what we had when we created the Fiscal
Year 2008 that was done as part of the 2005 UTP, we projected about $5.1 billion
that could be let in 2008.
Now, when we look at impacts to cash flow, when we
look at cash flow and working with James, and we look at our cash flow based on
the things that have changed that have impacted our influx of money, we can only
let somewhere between $3.6 and $4.2 billion.
So we need to take some action. This means that we got
to reduce our letting for 2008 from about $900 million to one and a half billion
dollars.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay, stop.
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I don't want to be confused, and I
sure don't want anybody that's watching this to be confused. That $5.1 billion
planned lettings includes maintenance, rehabilitation, preventive maintenance --
MR. SAENZ: Yes, yes --
MR. WILLIAMSON: -- new capacity, that's every contract
of any kind having to do with the maintenance --
MR. SAENZ: Yes.
MR. WILLIAMSON: -- or expansion of our system. MR.
SAENZ: Part of our planning process, we have twelve categories, we have projects
in twelve categories. The $5.1 billion is the summation of what we projected to
be able to let in all twelve categories.
MR. WILLIAMSON: And when you planned $5.1 billion five
years ago, and you properly inflated it, it might have been $4 billion and
you've been inflating it.
MR. SAENZ: Normally, we have been using five years of
what we were using, based on past history and an inflation rate of about 4
percent per year.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So the $5.1 billion is now in actual
2008 dollars; I mean, that's what you think those contracts are going to cost.
MR. SAENZ: Five point one billion is what we estimate,
in -- for 2008, what those projects would cost us.
MR. WILLIAMSON: And so when Finance tells you, as a
result of the things itemized, you don't have $5.1 billion to pay out --
MR. SAENZ: I have no choice but to go in there and
work with the districts -- in fact we've already implemented that, and ask the
districts to reduce projects that we can let in Fiscal Year 2008.
MR. WILLIAMSON: And are those projects automatically
new capacity, or are they maintenance?
MR. SAENZ: I -- when I went to the districts, and
recognizing the additional conversations that we had been having over the last
four months with respect to our condition of our payments, and the deterioration
that we were seeing because of the conditions, the weather conditions that we've
seen over the year, I had asked the districts to look at mobility projects, to
delay mobility projects in the amount of $965 million.
For Fiscal Year 2008, they were to work with the
Metropolitan Planning Organizations and identify those projects that were
originally scheduled that now would have to be delayed.
There may be more delays. As I mentioned, the -- I've
got a range between $3.6 and $4.1 --
MR. HOUGHTON: Right. Amadeo, dice up the $3.6 for me;
if our cash flow is $3.6, what is new mobility in there, and what is
maintenance.
MR. SAENZ: Okay. If our cash flow is $3.6, we probably
have zero dollars in mobility left, from the mobility categories that we can
reduce.
There are some categories that we can't touch, for
example enhancements, CMAQ, those are all considered mobility categories, and
those projects I cannot reduce. Those are needed to meet the air quality
requirements in the non-attainment areas.
MR. HOUGHTON: And what number would that be if you
added those up?
MR. SAENZ: If I add --
MR. HOUGHTON: Of the $3.6, how much will go to new
mobility?
MR. SAENZ: Of the $3.6 we would have zero new
mobility, I don't have the number of the categories that --
MR. HOUGHTON: Yes.
MR. SAENZ: -- would have to remain. But it would be, I
would think it would be somewhere between $200 to $300 million.
MR. HOUGHTON: For the entire state?
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir. Those are mandated categories.
MR. HOUGHTON: Yes, for mandated categories.
MR. SAENZ: So as I mentioned, we'd instructed the
districts and the MPOs to delay $965 million from their 2008 lettings, so that
we can come back into balancing.
That still only gets me to the $4.2 billion. We're
going to continue to look at the cash flow on almost on a daily basis, on a
monthly basis, to see if we need to get more projects delayed.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I want to use the right verbs.
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir.
MR. HOUGHTON: When you say more projects delayed, what
you really mean is, more projects eliminated.
MR. SAENZ: Well, in this case it would be up to the
region to determine if they want to eliminate the -- it will be eliminated from
the 2008 letting schedule; but if it's a high priority, it may slip into 2009 if
they so choose.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Well, that's where I was headed with
my question.
MR. SAENZ: That's -- why I say, delayed.
MR. WILLIAMSON: We --
MR. HOUGHTON: But with the notion that there's going
to be less cash to do this.
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir.
MR. HOUGHTON: So they could delay it, it could be
delayed for two or three years.
MR. SAENZ: Well, it's -- just basically a domino
effect.
MR. HOUGHTON: Right.
MR. SAENZ: If we don't have enough cash in 2008, we
delay -- we take projects and reduce the number of projects in 2008, if they
want to move them into 2009, and if we have the cash, then -- we were already
balanced, you have to push projects from '09 to '10, and from '10 to '11, and
'11 to '12.
But at some point, if we run out of cash, there will
be projects eliminated. But it would be up to the region, up to the MPO to
determine, once we come up with a final number, as to what projects will be
delayed, or how those projects will be reshuffled or rescheduled, and what
projects will be eliminated.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So we don't presume to change the path
we've been going down the last six years, of extending authority to regional
planners, and asking local leaders to execute; we're going to stay with that?
MR. SAENZ: That stays with that. What we're going to
do is, we're going to give them the best projections that we can to be able to
stay within the cash flow that --
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay.
MR. SAENZ: So as I mentioned, projects are pushed out,
in 2008 they still -- we still want to be able to continue, because those
projects, we have been working on and have almost complete. We want to complete
the planning, the design, buying the right of way for those projects, should
something change and additional money comes in, those projects will be ready to
go.
So I would call -- those projects are projects that I
would want to continue development, but we're so close, put them in a shelf, and
those projects can then be ready to go as soon as possible, unless the MPO
decides that, Well, maybe this is not as important a project as I wanted to do,
and I want to delay that.
But like I mentioned, we will have a ripple effect
that will mean changes to 2009 and 2010 and even points beyond. Okay? Do we want
to delay mobility? We want to look at possibly delaying, why do we delay
mobility before maintenance?
We got to make sure we maintain what we have. We're
not meeting our maintenance goals now. We don't build more before we can
maintain what we already have. So that's why we decided to delay projects in
Categories Two, Three and Four before we decided to do any delay projects in
maintaining the system that we currently have. And that's our recommendation.
Because as we delay mobility projects today, we still
need to be continuing, plan for the future; we need to continue to plan to make
sure that we're addressing our maintenance and rehab needs, that -- the
discussion over the last few months. You know, so there needs to be something to
look at, to determine what our funding levels need to be, for rehabilitation and
maintenance, and then what changes would have to happen to the mobility funding,
to be able to get us to where we want to be.
So if you recall, the last four months in May, we
presented the issue of where we were at with our, meeting our payment goals. If
you recall, we were -- our goal is to be 90 percent of our roads in good or
better condition, that means that they have a pavement score of at least 70, and
we were somewhere in the mid-80s; we started at 82, 83, in 2002.
And we had gone up to about 86, and then we started
dropping. We dropped down to 85, 83, and then our districts, looking at trying
to make sure that they were maintaining their facilities, started to expend more
money or advance some of their maintenance money into earlier years, so that
they could keep their pavement scores up.
So in 2006, if you remember we spent about $1.8
billion in preventive maintenance and rehabilitation, and that kept our pavement
scores pretty flat. So it kept us, we know that our funding level for 2006 of
about $1.8 billion would keep our pavement scores where we were at the time,
around 86, 86 and a half.
In June, we discussed kind of the statewide issue, and
some strategies that we were looking at, to try to come up with a mechanism to
address some of our bad pavements and most of our bad pavements are along the
coastal areas and our big metropolitan areas.
Our rural areas, and especially in West Texas, have
much better pavement base conditions, so our payments are in much better
conditions, in fact we have several, about eight districts that -- or nine
districts that are already exceeding their pavement goal scores of 90, and we're
only in 2007.
Kind of what we've concluded so far is that
maintenance makes sense and saves us money in the long run, if we don't maintain
our roads by putting the sealcoats and the overlays, we then have to
rehabilitate those roads, and it costs us a lot more than what a sealcoat and
overlay would have cost us.
We're not meeting our payment goals. We would need at
least $3.4 billion more between now and 2012 to be able to stay even. And we
would need $6.4 million more to -- the whole state could meet the goal.
Inflation has caused us to spend future funds, just to stay even.
And I got, this chart just shows you what our highway
cost index has been. As I mentioned earlier, when we presented to you in May, we
had estimated based on April figures that we would be at 73 percent increase
over 2002. Actually it turned out to be 62 percent.
So what we're recommending to address our maintenance
situation is to in a sense, in 2008 and 2009, because our districts have already
expended those monies in prior years, is that we just keep the program as it is,
and just let them spend their normal program.
In 2010, we were proposing that -- we re-prioritize
$225 million that we had; we had $1.3 billion scheduled, or $325, we
re-prioritize $225 million to address our highest payment needs across the
state -- and I'm sorry, in the districts that have the lowest pavement scores.
Districts that do not meet the current goal.
In 2011 and 2012, we want to make sure that we keep
that funding level that we have put in place to move us forward, across the
state for all districts but we also need to put additional money into preventive
maintenance and rehabilitation, to address additional needs that we have not
covered.
So kind of what we are proposing is that we take
Mobility Categories Two, Three and Four, in 2011 and 2012, and any non-committed
Category 12 money, which it would impact our pass-through tolling program,
Mr. Chairman, in 2011 and 2012 and move that money into the maintenance and
rehabilitation category.
And as I mentioned, in 2010, we would just go out
there and re-prioritize $225 million of what we already have planned, to try to
address very quickly some of the needs that we have across the state.
MR. UNDERWOOD: Amadeo --
MR. SAENZ: Yes?
MR. UNDERWOOD: -- let me interrupt you. When you say,
re-prioritize, basically you're going to take money from one district and move
it to another.
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir. I'm going to take money, I'm
proposing to take money from districts that have already met their goal, $225
million from the districts that have already met their goal, and then put them
across the state into districts that still need a ways to meet their goal. They
need to be able to make some improvements to meet their goal.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I don't want to focus on the districts
that lose right now, because I think that would be inflammatory, but tell me
which, specifically which districts need this additional cash flow.
MR. SAENZ: Okay. Let me --
MR. WILLIAMSON: Unless you were going to do that
anyway.
MR. SAENZ: I've got it on a slide right here. The
districts in blue are the districts that have already met their goal of 90
percent good or better. The districts in red are the districts that are below
the goal of 90 percent good or better.
And if you recall in earlier presentations, most of
the districts that had the lowest scores were the districts along the Coast, as
well as the metropolitan districts.
The formula that we want to use to allocate this money
that we're moving over will address the pavement, the current pavement scores as
well as the number of lane miles, as well as the additional -- the current
pavement scores, the number of lane miles and the amount of traffic.
So we will address the districts that have the lowest
pavements scores, the highest traffic, and the largest number of lane miles, and
in combination with more money for them to address their pavement needs that
they are falling behind under.
MR. HOUGHTON: Well, I think you have a slide in here
that shows that Dallas is at the bottom of the heap as far as their average
pavement scores.
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir. I --
MR. HOUGHTON: I mean, it kind of illustrates the --
MR. SAENZ: Right. This is really --
MR. HOUGHTON: -- big picture.
MR. SAENZ: -- when we look at it, these are the
districts that are below the three-year average; their average is 86.93 --
MR. HOUGHTON: Followed by Houston.
MR. SAENZ: Right. And the districts that have the
lowest pavement scores, which would be Houston and Dallas, are at 14 percent,
would be the ones, the districts that we would target to more money, more of
this money that we're proposing to relocate, or to reapportion to them, to put
together a plan on how we address pavements.
MR. HOUGHTON: So the issue is, at the bottom far right
you're taking $1 billion out of mobility and putting it into --
MR. SAENZ: I'm taking $1.09 billion, $225 million is
in maintenance that I'm re-allocating, but the rest of it is from mobilities in
2011 and '12, to address pavements.
MR. HOUGHTON: Right.
MR. SAENZ: I'll go back a little bit, just to make
sure that I cover -- as I mentioned, we're going to distribute the additional
maintenance money and rehabilitation money, and the total of $1.9 billion, to
the districts that are below the 90 percent goal.
Then we're going to base it on a formula that
basically takes into account what condition they're -- what the current
condition of the pavements is, the number of lane miles that they have, as well
as the amount of traffic. Those districts that receive this supplement, it's
going to be conditioned that we put a plan and we show how this money will be
spent, to ensure that we do get it used for addressing those roads that need it
the most.
At the end of the -- each year, then we will go back
and require the districts to give us a report, and we can go out there and do
some testing with our pavement testing equipment to make sure that we are making
some headway.
As I mentioned, these were the districts that are
below, and the red districts will be distributed the money based on the schedule
that we have here. This is still preliminary, the -- based on, we have some
rough numbers, we will tweak the numbers a little bit to get more digits past
the decimal point so that we make sure that we do that. But this was a rough
estimate of, how would we distribute the $1.09 billion.
Kind of just in summary, we're not going to meet our
goals with the funding, not even with this addition. We might say we're taking
from Peter to give to Paul, we're taking from the districts that already have
met their goal, and trying to apply it to districts that still need some help.
But we, in the long run we will lose less ground in
that we're trying to get those areas that scores are worse, where the
conditions, where the pavement condition is getting me from a point that I need
more than it -- that I need more than a sealcoat and an overlay, and I'm going
to go into a rehab, I'm trying to salvage that so that I can use sealcoats and
overlays to bring my pavement scores up, and bring the condition of the roads up
to something that's good.
This decision will result in delay and cancellation of
mobility projects. We're going to implement it as part of the 2008 SMP-SVP our
unified transportation program.
This chart here basically shows in a nutshell, as I
mentioned, in 2010 we're taking, we -- our funding level that we originally had
for 2010 that we gave to the districts last year, had $1.325 billion for
preservation, maintenance and rehabilitation.
We are taking $225 million from those allocations and
redistributing them to the other districts, and then in 2011 and 2012, because
we want to make sure we do not lose too much ground in the districts that we
took money from the year before, we're letting our allocations remain at $1.325,
and then inflating them in 2012 to almost $1.4.
And, but then we're having to take from mobility $425
million and $440 million to do additional maintenance and rehab in those
districts. The total equals $1.09 of additional maintenance money that we will
address at key areas of the state. I want to --
MR. HOLMES: Amadeo, can I ask it's kind of a baseline
question.
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir.
MR. HOLMES: Moving a billion, $900 million into
maintenance, is that designed to keep the paving scores where they are, or do
you think that that actually will move those up, close to or --
MR. SAENZ: I think --
MR. HOLMES: -- at 90, to 90 percent.
MR. SAENZ: -- I would at best hope I could keep my
pavement scores as they are. If you recall, in 2006 and 2007, we spent about
$1.6 and $1.8 billion, and we kept our pavement scores pretty flat.
What will happen, by taking and targeting the
districts that have low pavement scores, putting more money into theirs, we're
going to get a raise in those pavement scores for those districts. So our
average may increase, but the money that we took away from the districts that
were above may lose a little bit of ground.
So I would think that at best we could stay even to
where we were at in 2005 and 2006.
MR. HOLMES: In terms of the average --
MR. SAENZ: In terms of the average.
MR. HOLMES: -- overall average.
MR. SAENZ: Right. But we will have --
MR. HOLMES: Good ones coming down, and the --
MR. SAENZ: -- bad ones coming up.
MR. HOLMES: -- bad ones coming up.
MR. SAENZ: We'll have everybody bunched up much
closer.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I asked James about the pass-through
toll, specifically the ones in front of us today. He indicated that the cash
flow for the El Paso pass-through toll project was accounted for in our future
cash flows.
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: What number or what level of
pass-through tolls do we have pending that will not be accounted for?
MR. SAENZ: I believe I've got, or we have, about six
applications that, well we have at least one application that has gone through
the preliminary approval, which is the city of Lubbock.
And then we have applications that have been submitted
at least three or four, that are right now on hold; we're looking at those
applications to find out if those projects, how those projects meet our goals,
and to see if we want to be able to carry them forward.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So if we don't --
MR. SAENZ: Finalizing and determining how much
available money I have in Category 12, which is the category that we have been
using to fund those projects, will depend on which of those projects will move
forward.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So if we don't approve the El Paso
project today, what would happen? Would it go to the back of the line?
MR. SAENZ: The El Paso project was -- has already been
approved. The El Paso -- what we have, we do not have a pass-through toll
project today. What we have is a toll equity request from the El Paso RMA, for
doing studies. We don't have a pass-through toll project on the agenda today.
(Discussion off the record.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: But if we don't authorize the toll
equity, would they be able to proceed?
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir. The -- that project was approved,
and the -- toll equity request that we have received from the El Paso RMA is
because of the language in 792, the requirement to do market valuation for toll
projects.
There are several projects, I believe six projects in
El Paso, that fall under the market valuation requirements of 792. The RMA, we
have to negotiate with the RMA with respect to determining the market
valuation --
MR. WILLIAMSON: Uh-huh.
MR. SAENZ: -- for those projects. They request a toll
equity, we're doing a toll equity request for them, so that they can hire staff
to help them with the negotiations that need to take place as part of 792.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay.
MR. HOUGHTON: Mr. Chairman --
Are you finished with your presentation?
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir. This is the last page. As I
mentioned, we want -- what we're -- the actions that we're taking or we're
presenting to you today is, we want to plan for maintenance first; we're going
to have to adjust for the impacts, it's going to cost them delay of projects,
and those are tough decisions that we have to make.
We're going to continue and work with the districts
and the MPO to give them the number and let them make the decisions as to what
projects need to be delayed or in essence eliminated.
And then of course we need additional cash to move
forward. It's going to be important as -- during the interim when this committee
that was set up by 792 that's going to look at our public-private partnership
model, that we get the, or get the authority or continue to have the authority
to be able to bring in private cash, so that we can develop projects in the
future and we can have some more of the orange.
MR. HOUGHTON: Because of the severity of the
situation, and it impacts '08 on mobility projects, they're reporting back to us
how fast, on which projects get shelved or pushed out? We're going to give them
what?
MR. SAENZ: The, we --
MR. HOUGHTON: Thirty days?
MR. SAENZ: -- had already requested that information
from the districts, so we already know what the $965 million project list is.
MR. HOUGHTON: Yes, but you have more than that. If you
got --
MR. SAENZ: Right.
MR. HOUGHTON: -- three, point -- you got another $600
million --
MR. SAENZ: I -- we have to go back and we'll go back
and say, Okay, I have another $600 million --
MR. HOUGHTON: Right.
MR. SAENZ: -- we will go back to them and ask them
within a week, week and a half, to give us what that project list is.
MR. HOUGHTON: All right. My --
Mr. Chairman, we've talked --
If that's your conclusion of the presentation, this
looks like we're shuffling the deck a lot here, moving money from like you said,
Peter to pay Paul.
But I don't think we've taken the harder steps of
looking at how we cut expenses internally. If we're cutting these projects,
delaying these projects but we're going to maintain the same level of staffing,
the same level of consultants, I got to believe we got to take some other
steps --
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir.
MR. HOUGHTON: -- whether it's, and I don't mean to be
specific, but pretty tough issues, hiring freeze, having one district help the
other, whatever that may be.
MR. SAENZ: I would think that the first thing that we
would want to do would be that we'd look at, once we determined what the final
funding levels are, and what the final list of projects is, is we determine how
we can save some money that actually is an outlay from the department.
MR. HOUGHTON: Can we, Amadeo do we have the staff
available to help us, at these kind of levels of planning, construction, do we
need as many outside consultants as we have --
MR. SAENZ: No, sir.
MR. HOUGHTON: -- we do not?
MR. SAENZ: If you recall, based on the FTE limits
that -- allocations that we've had and have remained the same for many, many
years, a year and a half ago, two years ago when we were discussing consultant
contracts, we have the capacity to be able to design at least two, two and a
half billion dollars' worth of design work, in-house.
MR. HOUGHTON: And that is --
MR. SAENZ: So if our letting goes up to $3 billion,
then we can bring in consultants to assist us with just the delta, the
difference.
MR. HOUGHTON: Okay.
MR. SAENZ: So that would be one way. The, by being
able to save some of this consultant contract money, and also if projects are
going to be delayed for an extended period of time, and we'll have to have a
balance, we may not have to purchase the right of way at this time, we should be
able to result in some additional dollars that we could put into construction
projects.
Again, it's going to wind up being a balance. We want
to make sure that if we need -- if the project is coming soon or will continue,
we want to make sure that we continue and buy that right of way, and have it
ready.
But if the project is going to be delayed for an
extended period of time, we might be able to delay the right-of-way functions.
And if it's going to be delayed for an extended period of time, we might be able
to delay the design requirements on that project, so that we can save that money
to put on other construction projects that we want to do now.
MR. HOUGHTON: And --
MR. SAENZ: So we can come up with a -- once we
identify the total cost of -- the total dollars available to us, come up with a
strategy and a plan for you to show you how we can streamline the operations.
MR. HOUGHTON: Well, I think if we're going to do these
types of things to the state of Texas, I think we have to demonstrate to the
public that we have to take those measures internally.
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir.
MR. HOUGHTON: At the same time.
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir. We can also look at other
measures and you know, expenditures with respect to capital equipment,
expenditures with respect to -- I was thinking capital, my mind went blank for a
second.
MR. SIMMONS: Or capital budget, and --
MR. SAENZ: Yes. Capital budget, to see how we can
realize some savings there that we can put into our construction.
MR. SIMMONS: Mr. Houghton, this will, we already have
been talking about that, and it's something we had to go through in 2005. So we
know how to do it.
MR. HOUGHTON: Well, again I think if we're going to
have this kind of impact on the citizens of the state of Texas, where mobility
projects go to nothing, we've got to demonstrate that we're willing to pay the
price too, that we have to do some things internally.
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Further questions of Amadeo?
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: Mr. Bass, you got the answer to my
question?
Thank you, Amadeo.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Now, Mr. Saenz put a card up that
said, transfer has increased 15 percent to $1.57 billion.
MR. BASS: Uh-huh.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Is that what you discovered?
MR. BASS: Yes.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Where did the additional transfers
occur?
MR. BASS: This lists all transfers and sometimes a
transfer is in the eye of the beholder. So so |