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Texas Department of Transportation Commission Meeting
Commission Room
Dewitt Greer Building
125 East 11th Street
Austin, Texas 78701-2483
Thursday, June 28, 2007
COMMISSION MEMBERS:
Ric Williamson, Chairman
Hope Andrade
Ted Houghton, Jr.
Ned S. Holmes
Fred Underwood
STAFF:
Michael W. Behrens, P.E., Executive Director
Bob Jackson, General Counsel
Roger Polson, Executive Assistant to the
Deputy Executive Director
PROCEEDINGS
MR. WILLIAMSON: Good morning.
AUDIENCE: Good morning.
MR. WILLIAMSON: It is 9:07 a.m., and I would like to
call the June 28, 2007, meeting of the Texas Transportation Commission to order.
It's a pleasure to have each and every one of you here with us this morning.
Please note for the record that public notice of this
meeting, containing all items on the agenda, was filed with the Office of the
Secretary of State at 4:10 p.m. on June 20, 2007.
Before we begin today's meeting, I would appreciate it
if you would join with the commission in taking a moment to remove from your
pocket or purse your pagers, cell phones, BlackBerrys and other electronic
devices, and either turn them off or put them on the silent mode. Those of you
that carry BlackBerrys, the signal interferes with our recording system so I
really need for you to turn those off before you come to the podium if you're
going to speak this morning. And I don't know about the Apple iPod; I haven't
had a chance to study up on it yet.
It's our custom to open with comments from each of the
commission members, beginning with the commission member last appointed by the
governor. In this case that would be Mr. Underwood, and then we'll proceed to
Mr. Holmes, Mr. Houghton, and Ms. Andrade, and then we'll start our day. I'll
have a couple of announcements at that time. We'll skip Mr. Underwood for the
time being and go straight to Mr. Holmes.
MR. HOLMES: [Inaudible].
MR. HOUGHTON: Good morning. Again, I echo Mr. Holmes's
remarks. Glad to see all of our friends from the Metroplex area and others from
around the state. Welcome.
MS. ANDRADE: Good morning. I'm also happy to see a
happy and enthusiastic crowd, and I hope that you leave happy and enthusiastic.
But considering the weather that we're facing, please be careful; please do not
forget to buckle up, even those of you that drive pickup trucks. And next week
we're facing a holiday -- please, safe travels. Thank you.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Thank you, members. Mr. Underwood will
join us directly.
Let me also associate myself with the remarks of my
colleagues. We do appreciate you taking time out of your valuable day to be with
us.
I need to remind you that if you wish to address the
commission during the meeting today, we ask that you complete one of two
speaker's cards that are at the registration table to your right in the lobby.
If you are going to comment on an agenda item, we ask that you fill out a yellow
card, such as the one in my right hand, and please identify the agenda item on
the card. If you're commenting on an open matter and a matter not on our agenda,
we ask that you fill out the blue card, such as the one in my left hand, and you
will be permitted to comment at the end of the meeting.
Regardless of the color of card, we try to limit each
speaker politely to three minutes so we have enough time to get through
everyone's comments. The restriction obviously does not apply to sitting members
of the legislature, and if I have in the audience present House or Senate
members, am I aware of that, or do you care to be recognized at this time?
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay, thank you.
In addition to the cards that I just showed you, in
your chair you will find a card, similar to the card in my right hand, which
announces our second annual Texas Transportation Forum to be held here in Austin
on July 18 -- well, Senator Shapiro, there you are; Ms. Linda Harper-Brown is
here. Sorry, I didn't see you at first.
The Texas Transportation Forum is held in Austin on
July 18, 19 and 20. There is a website address listed where you can register if
you care to, and you can get more information about our speakers and our
program. We hope that you will decide to be a part of this interesting event and
spend some time with us talking about the new solutions to the challenges that
we all face in the transportation industry.
It is the habit of the commission on matters in which
legislators are involved or in which large delegations from outside the Austin
area are involved to try to move the deliberations as far up into the schedule
as possible, and I've been asked to do so by at least one of my colleagues. The
problem is there are some who wish to participate in that minute order event who
won't be here for a little while.
So what we're going to try to do, with your
cooperation, members, is move as fast as we can through the other agenda items
such that we can spend the bulk of our time today on the State Highway 121
matter which I presume is the focal point of most of our audience. If I detect
that the regular agenda is moving too slowly and when I see the other staff we
requested to be here, I'll stop and we'll shift and go to the 121 matter and
take that up.
MS. ANDRADE: Thank you.
MR. WILLIAMSON: That being the case, we need to clear
the minutes from the last meeting. That's the first item on our agenda and that
is the approval of the minutes of the meeting of May 24 and the special called
meeting of June 14. The draft minutes are in your briefing materials, members,
you've had a chance to look at those materials. Do you have questions, comments,
or is there a motion?
MR. UNDERWOOD: So moved.
MR. HOUGHTON: Second.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I have a motion and a second. All
those in favor of the motion will signify by saying aye.
(A chorus of ayes.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: All opposed, no.
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: Motion carries. Thank you, members.
Mike, let's proceed.
MR. BEHRENS: We'll go to agenda item number 2 which is
under Aviation, and we'll have a recommendation to approve our airport projects
for the month of June. Dave.
MR. FULTON: Thank you, Mike. Commissioners, for the
record, my name is Dave Fulton, director of the Aviation Division.
Item 2 is a minute order that contains a request for
grant funding approval for six airport improvement projects. The total estimated
cost of all requests, as shown in Exhibit A, is approximately $6.2 million,
approximately $5.1 million federal, $500,000 state, and approximately $600,000
in local funding. A public hearing was held on May 16 of this year, no comments
were received. We would recommend approval of this minute order.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Members, you've heard the staff's
explanation and recommendation. Do you have any questions or comments?
MR. HOUGHTON: So moved.
MR. HOLMES: Second.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I have a motion and a second. All
those in favor of the motion will signify by saying aye.
(A chorus of ayes.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: All opposed, no.
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: Motion carries. Thank you, Dave.
MR. BEHRENS: Agenda item number 3 is Public
Transportation. 3(a) concerns funding for transportation in Nueces and San
Patricio Counties. Eric.
MR. GLEASON: Good morning. For the record, my name is
Eric Gleason, director of Public Transportation for TxDOT.
Agenda item 3(a) awards $2,931,599 in transportation
development credits to the Corpus Christi Regional Transportation Authority for
fleet replacement and maintenance facility equipment. This award will allow the
use of approximately $14.3 million of federal funds for these purposes.
Title 43, Section 5.73 of the Texas Administrative
Code establishes the process by which transportation development credits may be
awarded at the discretion of the commission. Each project is reviewed to ensure
eligibility, overall benefit to public transportation initiatives, and to
further the five goals of the department: reduce congestion, expand economic
opportunity, enhance safety, improve air quality, and increase the value of
transportation assets. We find this project consistent with those goals.
Mr. Craig Clark, Corpus Christi district engineer, and
Mr. Ricardo Sanchez, general manager of the Corpus Christi RTA, are here today
to provide you with more details on the project. We recommend your approval of
this minute order.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Members, what's your pleasure: listen
to the witnesses first?
MS. ANDRADE: Yes.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Yes, witnesses. Mr. Clark and Mr.
Sanchez
MR. SANCHEZ: For the record, I'm Craig Clark, Corpus
Christi district engineer. I would like, as the district engineer, to give
support from the district and from the Corpus Christi MPO, our support for the
transportation development credits for this proposal. We've had great
cooperation from the RTA in expanding the scope and reach of public
transportation in our region.
We recognize that we need to fully engage all of our
tools, this tool and all of our tools, to help us address the mobility
challenges that we have in our area. We have to integrate all our modes to meet
the transportation goals and keep Texas moving.
So I'd like to have Ricardo give us the details of the
proposal.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Welcome, Mr. Sanchez.
MR. SANCHEZ: Yes, sir, thank you so much. Good
morning, Mr. Chairman, good morning, commissioners. It's my honor to go ahead
and address this body to talk about our particular request for transportation
credits for Corpus Christi, Texas, and securing approximately $2.9 million in
credits will benefit the citizens of the Corpus Christi region, and it also
represents the much needed match that we need for this particular project which
includes purchase of buses and maintenance equipment.
But before I get started into my remarks, if you don't
mind, Mr. Chairman, I would like to recognize another chairman who has come from
Corpus Christi, Mr. Rolando Barrera. Can you please stand? He's been our chair
for a number of years now. Unfortunately, he's going to be leaving in about
three months and we're going to miss him dearly, but I will say that he has been
probably one of our best chairs when it comes to as a strong public transit
advocate, and because of his bold leadership, this is why we're here today, and
I want to thank him.
I'd like to just limit my remarks to three
perspectives. One is that we're a united region serving the transportation needs
of 317,000 residents of Nueces County, including the cities of San Patricio and
Gregory. Secondly, I can't overemphasize the importance and significance of toll
credits to the operation of RTA. And thirdly, the developmental credits is very
much in congruence with what the commission is trying to do with their strategic
goals.
For the past two years, the RTA's board of directors
has embraced what I call a back to the basics approach to transportation, that
is, providing safe, reliable and cost-effective transportation, and to this end,
the board has adopted as its priority buying buses and buying also the
equipment. Also related to that is that we're very much interested in improving
the maintenance facility.
I'd like to let the commission members know that we
have very broad-based political support, community support for this particular
endeavor, from the Mayor of Corpus Christi, Henry Garrett, Nueces County Judge
Lloyd Neal, state representatives Herrera, Garcia and Ortiz, Chuy Hinojosa, and
including Congressman Solomon Ortiz.
We have a dedicated sales tax of a half cent and we
have recognized that those funds are insufficient to meet the current match
requirements for a three-year capital program, so we feel that the toll credits
will fill that void for us.
In short, I feel that the toll credits will definitely
help us reduce our operating expenses related to an aging fleet and improve
service reliability through utilizing newer vehicles. And of course, the added
benefit of the credits will offset some of the costs related to our plans for a
new maintenance facility.
I mentioned your five goals, Mr. Chairman, and I want
to go on record that the purchase of the vehicles will in fact help reduce
congestion. The American Public Transit Association estimates that one fully
loaded bus can reduce as many as 60 cars on the road.
Secondly, that public transportation is much safer
than automotive travel. In fact, the National Safety Council has said it's 170
times safer, as a matter of fact.
Thirdly, based on some recent economic research
conducted by economics professor Dr. Jim Lee, public transportation in Corpus
Christi saves our riders approximately $11.6 million per year and this money is
turned around to buy other goods and services unrelated to public
transportation. And I may add that 41 percent of our riders are using public
transportation to go to work.
Number four, the RTA has purchased propane and low
emission vehicles in the past. This year we'll be issuing a request for
proposals for vehicle replacement that will examine as options hybrid and CNG
technologies.
And finally, the fifth goal is that we help increase
the value of public transportation assets by reducing the demands for new road
construction and maintenance.
I do want to close my comments by recognizing Craig
Clark, who is here, our district engineer, he has done a fantastic job; also
Steven Edema, who works very closely with him. And without their guidance and
their counsel, we wouldn't be here today, quite frankly, commissioners.
Also, special thanks to Public Transportation Division
Director, Mr. Gleason, as well as Cheryl Mazur with the Public Transportation
Division Management Section, and it's through their technical assistance that we
were able to go through the TDC application process.
Again, Mr. Chairman and commissioners, thank you so
much for your support, on behalf of our board, our staff and elected officials,
but more importantly, a special thank you from our customers, our riders. Those
are the ones that we're all about, and sometimes those kind of get neglected or
forgotten in the process, but those are the ones that are going to greatly
benefit from your support of the transportation credits. Thank you so much.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Members, do you have questions of this
witness? Thank you, sir, we appreciate you coming.
MS. ANDRADE: I have a comment. Mr. Sanchez, thank you
so much for working with our staff and being patient, and congratulations on
being visionary to build a regional maintenance facility. I was very excited
when I heard about this project. And to your board chairman, I want to thank him
for everything he's done in the Corpus Christi area, and I think he can walk
away and you can be very proud of what you're leaving behind. So thank you very
much.
MR. SANCHEZ: Thank you, Commissioner.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Other members?
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: Thank you, sir.
Craig, anything else? Thank you also for coming up
today.
Eric?
MR. GLEASON: Nothing further, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Members, you've heard the staff's
explanation, the witnesses' testimony, and staff's recommendation.
MS. ANDRADE: So moved.
MR. HOLMES: Second.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I have a motion and a second. All
those in favor of the motion will signify by saying aye.
(A chorus of ayes.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: All opposed, no.
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: Motion carries. Thank you, Eric.
MR. BEHRENS: Agenda item number 3(b) will concern
various counties for transportation funding, and this will be appropriating
funds appropriated by the 80th Legislature. Eric.
MR. GLEASON: Agenda item 3(b) awards $19.8 million in
state funds to small urban and nonurbanized public transportation systems for
fiscal year 2008. These funds are for both operating and capital expenses and
are used to leverage federal funding for the same purposes.
There are 30 small urban and 39 nonurbanized or rural
public transportation systems eligible for state funding. These systems carry 22
million passengers and travel over 41 million miles of service each year. The
allocation among these systems, as shown in Exhibit A, is consistent with the
funding allocation formula adopted by the commission in the Texas Administrative
Code. We recommend your approval of this minute order.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Members, you've heard the staff's
explanation and recommendation. Do you have questions or comments for staff?
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: We have one witness, but I don't know
that he wishes to speak or is available to speak. Ben, what's your pleasure?
Ben, if you would come forward.
MR. HERR: Thank you, Mr. Chairman, commissioners. For
the record, my name is Ben Herr. I'm the executive director of the Texas Transit
Association. The TTA is a non-profit association that represents the transit
industry in Texas. Our membership consists of the eight metropolitan transit
authorities, the 30 small urban transit districts, and the 39 rural transit
districts.
I'd like to testify in favor of this minute order.
This $19.7 million of state funds provides the small urban and rural transit
agencies the important funds needed to match federal funds for operating
expenses and capital expenditures. This $19.7-, however, is a 30 percent
reduction in state funds from previous years. The transit industry was extremely
disappointed in the actions of the 80th Legislature in reducing state funding
for public transportation. As the chart you've been provided shows, this is a
giant step backwards of 13 years. The amount of state funds to be provided in
2008 is very close to what was provided back in 1995.
Since 1995 there's been significant changes in the
state public transportation industry. We've added new transit agencies in both
the small urban and rural areas, providing transit to the public that was not
previously available. Most transit providers have been able to expand service in
their operating areas providing Texas citizens more access to jobs, education
and healthcare, contributing to the economic development of their communities.
What else has happened in 13 years? The transit
industry has experienced what most businesses have experienced: the cost of
doing business has increased; fuel costs have steadily risen; the cost of
maintenance has gone up; the cost of a new bus purchase has increased; employee
wages and benefits, such as healthcare insurance, have gotten higher; and the
introduction of technology, such as computer software and ITS equipment, has
become an expensive but critical component of daily operations.
So how will transit deal with the legislature taking
funding back to 1995 levels? It's very simple: transit managers will need to cut
costs by cutting service. For example, north of the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex,
SPAN provides service to the rural areas of Denton County. They're facing a
reduction of $105,000. They're planning to place their customers on a waiting
list for service based on critical needs. Those customers that need rides for
dialysis and other critical medical care will go at the top of the list, but
those with basic ADA needs will be placed at the bottom and go without
transportation.
Hill Country Transit provides rural service to nine
counties as well as service to the cities of Killeen and Temple. They can expect
a combined loss of over $428,000. Since they will no longer have the needed
state funds to match federal funds for capital purchases, they will postpone
critically needed vehicle purchases. After many months of study and discussion
under the regional coordination planning initiatives, the planned expanded
service will also be shelved.
And in the rural areas west of Corpus Christi, the
Rural Economic Assistance League, REAL, will lose $116,000. To cut costs they
plan to lay off employees which will also then lead to canceled routes in the
three counties that they service.
In my discussions with the department staff, I know
that TxDOT and the commissioners are researching options to add additional funds
to what was provided in this minute order and bring the level of state funding
back up to the previous levels of 2006 and 2007. This is very encouraging and
very much appreciated by the transit agencies.
The TTA and its membership would like to thank the
commission for its support and commitment to the public transportation industry
in Texas. We're optimistic the department will do all it can to reduce this $9
million deficit. Transit is not real sexy, we don't make big splashy headlines,
but we do provide a valuable service to the communities in which we operate, and
as we've demonstrated in the past, we are committed to contributing to TxDOT's
goals of reducing congestion, enhancing safety, expanding economic opportunity,
improving air quality, and increasing the value of transportation assets.
Mr. Chairman, commissioners, I thank you for your
support of public transportation.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Members, do you have questions or
comments?
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: Hey, Ben, was there any reason why the
appropriations bill reduced you? Were you participating?
MR. HERR: The recommendations of the Legislative
Budget Board, sir, stated that there was an estimated $19 million increase in
federal funding and their recommendation to the legislature was to reduce state
funding dollar for dollar, and that's what the legislature approved in Senate
Bill 1, the appropriations.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Well, was there an increase in federal
funding?
MR. HERR: Yes, sir. There is a project increase in
SAFETEA-LU for 2008 and 2009. That is correct.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So will that mitigate against laying
off all the people you spoke you're going to have to lay off?
MR. HERR: No, sir. I don't believe so. The problem is,
and which some people just don't realize, is that when you increase federal
funding you need to somehow increase local and state funding in order to draw
down those federal funds. It's a one-to-one match for operating; it's an 80/20
match for capital expenditures. So you can't get to that 19 million in federal
funds without spending state or local funds.
MR. HERR: That's correct, sir. So what we have here is
a situation we potentially will -- not only have we already lost state funding,
we potentially lose federal funding.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Are you sure the appropriators knew
that?
MR. HERR: I don't know, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Eric, could we -- I guess we could
ask the legislature to give us some transfer authority from our accounts to at
least keep the program going.
MR. HERR: Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Any other questions for Ben?
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: Thank you, Ben, appreciate it.
MR. GLEASON: I have no further comments, sir.
MS. ANDRADE: I have a question for Eric. My
understanding was that we were short $17.4 million?
MR. GLEASON: $17.6-.
MS. ANDRADE: And we certainly tried to explain what
was going on, but we didn't get very much response or support. But we're
committed to trying to find that money.
MR. GLEASON: Yes, ma'am. That $17.6 million is
actually a two-year number, it's a $9 million issue in 2008 and $8.66- in 2009.
MS. ANDRADE: So we're continuing to look into that and
try to see if we can make up that money. Is that correct?
MR. GLEASON: Yes, ma'am.
MR. WILLIAMSON: But as I understand it, out of our
existing cash flows.
MR. GLEASON: Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So in effect, we're transferring from
building a bridge in San Antonio to financing buses.
MS. ANDRADE: Not necessarily San Antonio. I hear El
Paso has a little extra money.
(General laughter.)
MS. ANDRADE: But we're committed to it. I just want to
know that we're still working on it.
MR. GLEASON: Absolutely. I think you've heard a
description of some of the potential impacts of it.
MS. ANDRADE: Because we won't be able to draw down the
federal funds so it's not going to do them any good that we got more federal
funds if we don't.
MR. GLEASON: The state has a tremendous opportunity
with the increase in federal funding to do much more than we've been able to do
in the past, but we do need that match.
MS. ANDRADE: I just think, Mr. Chairman, that this is
great way to leverage. I mean, $17.4- is quite an investment for us but it's a
great way to leverage down the federal funds.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I'm not doubting Ben's word, I just
can't imagine that Mr. Chisum and Mr. Ogden completely understood that. Perhaps
we can talk with them and see what we can do about it.
MR. GLEASON: Yes, sir.
MS. ANDRADE: Thank you.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Anything else, members?
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: Do I have a motion?
MR. HOUGHTON: So moved.
MS. ANDRADE: Second.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I have a motion and a second. All
those in favor of the motion will signify by saying aye.
(A chorus of ayes.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: All opposed, no.
(No response.)
MR. WILLIAMSON: Motion carries. Thank you.
Mike, I've been told that we're just a few minutes
away from having the rest of our staff, so I'd like to stop here and ask Amadeo
to lay out the maintenance item, and as soon as I see staff come through the
door, we'll stop Amadeo and go straight to the 121 item.
MR. BEHRENS: We'll then go to agenda item number 4
which is a discussion item that will talk about our statewide pavement
conditions and how we're planning to re-appropriate funding to take care of some
of those needs in maintenance. Amadeo.
MR. SAENZ: Good morning, Mr. Chairman, commissioners,
Mr. Behrens, Roger.
This is a continuation of our discussion that we
started last month. Today the goal is to discuss with you how we can take steps
to address our preservation and maintenance needs to help our Texas highway
transportation system.
Last month, just as a refresher, we reviewed the
statewide data and trends concerning pavement conditions and spending and
concluded that we could not meet our goal to have 90 percent of our roads to be
in good or better condition by 2012 based on our current funding levels. Last
month we also discussed how inflation has thwarted our best efforts to improve
our system. We also discussed that the districts have been working hard to
maintain and rehabilitate the roads and have tried to stay close by basically
spending money from future allocations to keep up with their pavement
conditions. We concluded that there's a need to put more money towards
maintenance and rehabilitation and the only money that we have is money that we
have from certain funding categories.
This month I would like to discuss with you our
statewide analysis from last month and how it translates from a statewide basis
down to a district basis. I will discuss some rehabilitations that involve
relocating some of our maintenance and rehab money in their early years and then
in the future trying to move some mobility money into the maintenance and
rehabilitation so that we can target those areas of the state that have the
worst problems. I will also discuss a plan of action and the anticipated impact
on the overall transportation program.
The recommendation we'll consider today is not the
ultimate solution. I want to get some feedback from you all. I'm going to
present a recommendation that probably will present and lay out maybe some
concerns across the state, and maybe with you, but I want to get some feedback
from you, and I will be meeting with you all.
MR. WILLIAMSON: What do you mean lay out some
concerns? Are you saying you're going to recommend that we move money from one
district to the next?
MR. SAENZ: I'm recommending that in the years from '08
to '10 to take some of the maintenance money that's already been allocated to
the districts for rehab and maintenance and bring some in where we can address
areas of the state where we need it the most.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So is the answer to my question yes?
MR. SAENZ: Yes, as well as moving mobility money in to
address more maintenance and rehab.
MR. UNDERWOOD: But Amadeo, we're already drawing past
what we've basically budgeted at $1.1 billion. Isn't that correct? We're already
drawing into the future and now you're saying that you're going to draw back
from other areas as well as what we're drawing from our future money.
MR. SAENZ: That's correct.
MR. UNDERWOOD: Thank you.
MR. WILLIAMSON: And is that money likely to flow from
suburban and rural areas to metro areas, or from metro areas out to urban and
suburban areas?
MR. SAENZ: It will flow mostly from the rural areas
into the metro areas because, as I'll show in a few minutes, our pavement
conditions in our metro areas where we have more traffic is in worse shape, and
the pavement conditions in parts of the state that have more stable foundations
is in better shape. So we're recommending a movement of monies from the rural
areas to address the bad areas that we have in the metro, as well as areas along
the coast.
MR. WILLIAMSON: That's going to go over about like the
CDA process has gone over. There will be about one champion for that and that
will be about it.
(General laughter.)
MR. SAENZ: Kind of looking at this map here -- and I
apologize for the colors, they looked better when I was doing it on the
computer -- if you look at the map and you look at the blues and greens, it's
where our pavement scores are above the statewide average. As you recall, last
month I told you our statewide average of pavements that were in good or better
condition was running about 86 percent. Well, the green and the blue are the
areas of the state where we have pavement scores above that.
The areas of yellow and I guess olive are the areas of
the state where we have the worst conditions, where the olive is the worst one,
and if you look at that area up there around Corpus Christi, along the coast we
have some bad areas, the Houston area has some bad areas, the Metroplex has some
bad areas, and also the western parts.
Statewide our pavement quality declined overall in
2006. Looking over the last four years, San Angelo District has about 96 percent
of its roads in good or better condition, and it's in the best shape of all of
the districts across the state. On the other hand, the Dallas District only has
75 percent of their roads in good or better condition, or about a quarter of the
roads in Dallas are in less than good condition.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Amadeo, I'm a little bit confused.
What I hear you saying is you're preparing us gently for a recommendation to
move money from districts to districts and from construction to maintenance.
MR. SAENZ: Yes.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Now, I understand the impacts of
inflation but I also know how our cash flows are developed and I know that we
write into our cash flows the cost of inflation. I just want to be a little bit
clear while I think through this why it's necessary for us to redefine our cash
flows. Have we lost some cash flows someplace?
MR. SAENZ: We've lost some cash flows through federal
rescissions; we've lost some cash flows through the legislative process where
some of the money that we had has been diverted to other areas; we've also lost
some of the tools that we anticipated would generate cash flows that would
address -- the moratorium on the CDA program, for example.
MR. WILLIAMSON: How much have we lost to federal
rescissions?
MR. SAENZ: Federal rescissions, so far we've lost,
Coby, is it about $600 million, and we have requests for another $77 million
that we have to respond by the middle of next month.
MR. WILLIAMSON: How much additional did we lose in the
appropriations process this cycle?
MR. SAENZ: Mr. Chase?
MR. WILLIAMSON: And when I say lose, I mean or
diverted to other areas of the budget.
MR. SAENZ: I believe the number was about --
MR. UNDERWOOD: Wasn't it about $240 million from Fund
6? Isn't that about right?
MR. SAENZ: $250- to $300-, I think.
MR. CHASE: Coby Chase, director of the Government and
Business Enterprises Division. It was $1.5 billion; that's up approximately 15
percent from the previous biennium.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So $1.5 billion total but $1.27- or so
of that had already been going on a long time and now it's up to $1.5 billion.
MR. CHASE: Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So about an additional $250 million.
MR. CHASE: Yes, sir, correct.
MR. WILLIAMSON: And you said loss of tools. What
tools?
MR. SAENZ: Well, for example, the moratorium on being
able to use the private sector to develop and finance and bring equity into our
projects where they would take over the construction of the project, would save
some construction money, they also would take over the maintenance of the
project.
We're going to talk about 121 in a little bit, but
projects like 121 that we are currently maintaining those frontage roads, we're
going to be building the main lanes that will be tolled, but the maintenance of
those frontage roads right now is taxing Fund 6. If we were to move forward
through a CDA, the maintenance of those frontage roads, as well as the new
construction, was all going to be part of that CDA. That would have freed up
some money for the Dallas District in the maintenance side to apply to address
pavement conditions.
MR. WILLIAMSON: That's a bad example, Amadeo, because
one way or the other, somebody is fixing to build 121, so are there other
examples I can put my head on?
MR. SAENZ: 161 is an ongoing CDA project.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Were we counting on positive cash flow
from that?
MR. SAENZ: There's no moratorium on 161 so 161 will
follow.
MR. WILLIAMSON: What about 288 in Houston?
MR. SAENZ: 288 in Houston is affected by the
moratorium but it is a project that will be built by the Harris County Toll Road
Authority.
MR. WILLIAMSON: 281 in San Antonio?
MR. SAENZ: 281 in San Antonio, that project is
affected by the moratorium.
MR. WILLIAMSON: 290 in Houston?
MR. SAENZ: 290 in Houston is a project to be developed
by the Harris County Toll Road Authority.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So a combination of federal
rescissions, increase in transfers from Fund 6, and loss of projected cash
payments and reduced expenses into Fund 6 is the result of what you're going to
be recommending to us?
MR. HOUGHTON: What was our overall increase in our
budget this biennium from last biennium?
MR. SAENZ: We increased our budget, I think, we went
from about -- for the biennium we went from about $15 billion to $16 billion.
MR. HOUGHTON: So the increase was 2 percent?
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir.
MR. HOUGHTON: What's CPI these days, highway
construction?
MR. SAENZ: Highway construction index for this year is
running somewhere between 8 and 10 percent.
MR. HOUGHTON: So we're in the hole 6.
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: The state is in the hole 6.
MR. SAENZ: The overall average indicates that 13
percent of our roads are below average.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Do our MPO partners know this is
coming?
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir. We have met and discussed with
the MPOs about having to address pavements and we had a conference call and we
also had the MPOs here when I presented the presentation last month.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Because this is going to upset some
people.
MR. SAENZ: Yes.
The three-year average indicates 13 percent of our
roads are below average. Since we have almost 80,000 centerline miles, 179,000
lane miles, approximately 10,000 of those centerline miles are not in good
condition. In general, there's better pavement scores in West Texas.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Amadeo, we've got the rest of
everybody here now. If you don't mind, we're going to stop. I mean you no
disrespect but we'd like to try to get 200 people from North Texas back home
before the next rainstorm hits.
And Mike, are there going to be public presentations
that you're aware of?
MR. BEHRENS: It would just be those people that are
signed up to speak on that particular item.
MR. WILLIAMSON: And how do you want to lay this out?
MR. SAENZ: Amadeo will lay it out.
MR. WILLIAMSON: It's going to take a while, I suspect.
We can either take a break right now and let the audience reorient themselves,
or we can push on and break when we want to. What's your pleasure? Push on.
Let's go.
MR. BEHRENS: We'll go to agenda item number 6(a). This
is a project concerning State Highway 121 in Collin and Denton Counties, and the
commission will consider a recommendation of the Regional Transportation Council
concerning the financing, construction and operation of State Highway 121.
Amadeo, are you ready?
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir. Good morning again,
commissioners. For the record, Amadeo Saenz, assistant executive director for
Engineering Operations. Agenda item 6(a)(1) is a minute order where we are
considering the request from the Regional Transportation Council from the North
Texas Council of Governments on moving forward with the 121 project where they
were recommending that we move forward with the North Texas Tollway Authority.
I'm going to start by presenting to you a little bit
of some of the things that have been going on and the process that was followed
concerning the 121 project that started as a CDA, and then has gone through some
legislative requirements and including submissions of proposals by the North
Texas Tollway Authority.
I'll start with the RTC on March 26 sent a letter to
the North Texas Tollway Authority where they requested the North Texas Tollway
Authority to submit a binding commitment in full compliance with a CDA. Also,
they wanted that commitment to clearly state what is guaranteed. They wanted
them to specify and communicate the risks that will be borne by the NTTA system
due to the change in bond rating, and some possible toll rate increases, delays
in development of committed projects, and they also wanted them to communicate
any toll projects which could not be built by NTTA in a timely fashion.
In that same letter that was also sent to the Texas
Department of Transportation to Chairman Williamson, they also requested TxDOT
to see if we could provide some review help to review the NTTA binding
commitment with the same staff and using the same methodology that was used for
the review of the CDA project that was being developed for 121. They also wanted
us to provide potential impacts of the NTTA proposal on private sector bidders.
Just to kind of compare the two proposals, we had that
came in on the 18th of May, and we received a copy of it and our staff started
reviewing it, and the proposal from NTTA basically called for an up-front
concession fee of $2.5 billion, total lease payments for the 49 years in today's
dollars of a net present value of $833 million for total payments of $3.333
billion, it had a design and construction cost of $698 million, and it had an
operation and maintenance cost for the 50 years of $1.26 billion, for a total
value of $5.299- or almost $5.3 billion.
This compared to the proposal that we had received
from Cintra-J.P. Morgan which provided an up-front payment of $1.15 billion, a
net present value for the 49 guaranteed payments of $717 million, for design and
construction costs of $560 million, and operation and maintenance costs of $1.77
billion, for a total of $5.197 billion.
We reviewed the submission by NTTA and compared it to
what was in the CDA procurement as requested by the RTC, and there were several
things that the proposal did not include. The proposal did not include a
proposal security which they said would be provided only after the offer was
accepted. Also, the proposal is a proposal that was not based on a binding or a
predetermined agreement. Instead, it said that the final proposal would be
binding based on an agreement that would be developed that would be an agreement
by both parties, the Texas Department of Transportation and the NTTA, and of
course, it would also require approval by the lenders that would lend money to
NTTA.
The proposal, because it was done in a short time
frame, did not include the same level of underpinning and design requirements
and technical requirements that were requested in the CDA procurement. It did
not identify the key participants, and that's simply because the NTTA will be
using a different model than what the CDA people were going to be using. And of
course, the detailed cost data, because it was not there, the lenders were not
able to do a due diligence on the detailed cost data, and of course, the lending
commitments that came in with the proposal had some conditions that had to be
addressed before the lenders could really guarantee that they would lend the
money to the project.
MR. HOUGHTON: What are those conditions?
MR. SAENZ: Some of the conditions was, of course, they
needed to see the agreement and the terms of the agreement. And I may ask Mr.
Bass to help me a little bit because he was more involved in the project.
MR. HOUGHTON: A basic question, Amadeo: Did the NTTA
proposal meet the criteria set out by the RTC?
MR. SAENZ: Based on the RTC letter, no, they didn't,
because they said they wanted the NTTA proposal to meet the requirements of the
CDA, so it did not meet the requirements of the CDA as had been requested.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I don't want to waste a lot of
people's energy and time focused on things that don't really matter. I don't
presume any question a commissioner asks doesn't matter -- but you're going to
get a lot of questions today, Amadeo, this is going to be a pretty stressful
day -- yes and no is probably quick enough because that might sound like a
horrible thing but to me it's not central to the decision we have to make and we
don't need to make a big deal about it. There may be really good reasons why Mr.
Wageman chose to approach his response the way he did, and in the end that's not
really going to matter to the business deal, and our focus needs to be the
business deal. Do you see what I'm saying?
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: We don't want to give the audience the
impression that we think that's a big deal.
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir. The CDA required a schedule with
liquidated damages. The proposal, as we understand it, does not include a
preliminary design, so we're not able to tell if the schedule was going to meet
those milestones. It also used different standards as far as operation and
maintenance and pavement scores so there were different standards, it said it
was going to be built to NTTA standards instead of the standards that were in
the CDA.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Would that imply that the projects
would be taken off the system if NTTA were the concessionaire?
MR. SAENZ: Yes, that NTTA would then take that project
off the system and they could develop to their standards.
Their annual lease payment came in the form of a bond
with priority payment coming after the operation and maintenance for the entire
NTTA system. The CDA required that that annual payment be the first money that
is generated out of the project revenue. And of course, I believe the reason for
that is since they're going to make this part of the system, they have to comply
with bond indentures, and the bond indentures require operation and maintenance
on the NTTA side to be first money out.
Some of the costs that were included in the proposal
that did not seem to come from the 121 project but really were funded through
the system itself, for example, some of the interest that was covered by issuing
some of the early debt was going to be covered as a system cost, and that's
acceptable because they were using the system as a backstop.
And of course, what we looked at is looking at the
level of risk: what would happen to the project should the cost of construction
be higher, should the cost of operation and maintenance be higher, should the
cost of financing be higher. And when that happens, in essence, the system would
be exposed. If it costs more, if less people used it, if the construction was
higher, if you delayed service commencement, you have to start paying your debt
and if you don't have the revenue to cover it, it has to come from somewhere so
it has to be from the system and that would have an impact. That was one of the
questions that the RTC had asked is what impact will this project have on the
system. So if for some reason those items are more expensive or there is less
revenue available, the system would have to cover them.
Conversely, if the project was built on time or was
completed ahead of time, if the costs were not higher than what was budgeted or
projected, costs were lower, then the system would not have to cover that, there
would be enough revenue for the project to cover those costs.
MR. HOUGHTON: Amadeo, let me ask you a question or two
and get right down to the brass tacks. What's guaranteed currently?
MR. SAENZ: Right now, as far as guaranteed, because we
don't know what the final form of the contract for this project is --
MR. HOUGHTON: Is the up-front payment guaranteed right
now?
MR. SAENZ: The up-front payment they say is guaranteed
but we have to agree on a contract.
MR. HOUGHTON: So it's not guaranteed, we don't have a
guarantee.
MR. SAENZ: No.
MR. HOUGHTON: Are the annual payments guaranteed?
MR. SAENZ: The annual payments come in in the form of
a bond that are paid for after operation and maintenance. We still don't have a
contract, that still needs to be spelled out.
MR. HOUGHTON: Are the toll rates guaranteed?
MR. SAENZ: As we understood the proposal, because it
is part of the system, they could not comply with the toll rate requirements
that RTC had said that we had included in the CDA.
MR. HOUGHTON: Financing guaranteed?
MR. SAENZ: I'm not sure I understand.
MR. HOUGHTON: Well, that's the question I asked
earlier. Is the financing guaranteed on the project?
MR. SAENZ: Well, what was submitted in the proposal,
the lender commitments had the caveats that said we need to see the form of the
contract and we need to agree with the form of the contract.
MR. HOUGHTON: It's a chicken-and-egg kind of theory
right now?
MR. SAENZ: The contract needs to be developed and the
terms need to be finalized before those commitments can address those items that
are covered.
MR. HOUGHTON: So Mr. Chairman, is it our idea that we
vote on this today to accept this with no guarantees, or what is your intention?
MR. WILLIAMSON: Well, I understand your concern and I
understand the concerns of one or two of the other commission members. Why don't
we let Amadeo finish his layout and let's ask a few others questions and maybe
we can determine if we need to be even voting at all.
MR. HOUGHTON: Okay.
MR. SAENZ: Moving forward, the RTC asked us to review
but they also brought in their own independent financial advisor that reviewed
both the Cintra proposal and the NTTA proposal. This was PricewaterhouseCoopers.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I'm sorry, I don't mean to be
violating my own order, but I need to ask something about that. You said the
RTC. Was this PricewaterhouseCoopers?
MR. SAENZ: Was brought in, was hired by the RTC as
their independent review.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I just want to establish for the
record did we recommend that?
MR. SAENZ: No, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Did we have anything to do with that
decision?
MR. SAENZ: No, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: That was the RTC decision to bring
that nationally recognized firm in, not our decision.
MR. SAENZ: That's correct.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay, thank you.
MR. SAENZ: PricewaterhouseCoopers, in their analysis
went through something that they call qualitative risks and returns, and they
were very similar to the risks that I talked about. They said, Okay, there's a
financial risk, the commitments are not there, the commitments are caveated on
those requirements; if there's a change in the interest rates, there's going to
be a risk up or down; since we don't have an agreement, there's no way to come
up with a financial close; construction costs, operational costs, maintenance
costs, rehabilitation costs, depending on whether they're higher or lower, it
will have an impact on the project and it will have a risk that's associated to
that, and for the NTTA proposal, those risks are borne by what's backing up the
project which would be the system.
So the level of financial commitment and the due
diligence at the time the bids submitted, as I mentioned, was not there because
there is no final agreement in place to be able to make that determination.
They also looked at the way the proposal was going to
allocate money or how it was going to make the payments, and by making the
payments we talked about there's an up-front payment, there is an annual payment
that the CDA said was required, and then there was what was called in the NTTA
proposal something they call public benefit which I see that as the money that's
available after everything on this project has been done -- surplus monies, you
may call it that -- they call that a public benefit.
The way the money flowed, of course, the up-front
payment was up front, the annual payments were in the form of a bond, but those
annual payments called a guaranteed bond were subject to there being enough
money after operation and maintenance on the entire system. So that's how that
was, and then of course, you had all these other costs.
They looked at applying discount rates because they
wanted to bring everything to net present value, and one of the things that we
had set up in the CDA for all the proposers so that we could have uniformity and
because we also required the up-front payment to be guaranteed up front and the
annual payment to be a payment that was first money that went into the project,
first money out and also guaranteed, we had assigned a 5 percent discount rate
for calculating at present value.
PricewaterhouseCoopers went through some analyses and
they said because of where the money was coming on the NTTA proposal, they made
some recommendations to using different discount values to the 5 percent. And
what they did, they called it a normalized base case. They looked up at the
up-front payment that NTTA had proposed which was $2.4 billion. I'm going to put
this on here; I think it would be better if you can see these numbers.
(Pause.)
MR. SAENZ: Okay, thank you. As I mentioned, in a
normalized base case they set the up-front payment for NTTA and the normalized
base case was based on some traffic numbers and normalized base case was $2.4
billion versus $2.1 billion. The annual payment under the Cintra proposal was
$700 million net present value, and that used a discount rate at 5 percent. They
said that the annual payments, because of the way the cash flow would flow that
required operation and maintenance should not be discounted at 5 percent but
should be discounted somewhere a little bit higher, and they used --
MR. WILLIAMSON: Wait. You're confusing me. Right now
you say the current value of Cintra's contract payments over time is $.7
billion. Right?
MR. SAENZ: $700 million.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Now, were you just talking about
NTTA's proposal?
MR. SAENZ: Under the NTTA proposal, they said for the
annual payments, as were submitted in the proposal, because those annual
payments come in after operation and maintenance, the discount rate should be
higher than 5 percent because there is less of a guarantee that that money is
there.
MR. HOUGHTON: That was my next question. Cintra's is
guaranteed, NTTA's isn't.
MR. SAENZ: NTTA's is a bond but it come in in a lower
level in that waterfall of payments.
MR. HOLMES: Is it correct to say that NTTA's is not
guaranteed? I thought the full faith and credit of NTTA to back their deferred
payments.
MR. SAENZ: It is but the point here is if you remember
they said that it was based on a 5 percent discount rate, it was $833 million.
PricewaterhouseCoopers said that because it comes in at a lower level in the
waterfall after operation and maintenance, even though it's guaranteed, you have
to discount it at a higher percentage.
MR. HOLMES: Which is a subjective analysis.
MR. SAENZ: And I'm presenting basically what the
consultant presented to the RTC. I was able to attend both meetings and was able
to listen.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Wait. I'm not through. Couldn't you
say the same thing about the Cintra payment? Why wouldn't they be discounted at
something more than 5 percent?
MR. SAENZ: Well, because it's the level of risk. The
Cintra payment comes in as the first money that goes into the project. The $700
million is about $25 million a year that grows at about 2-1/2 to 30 percent.
MR. WILLIAMSON: $25 million a year.
MR. SAENZ: $25 million a year. The first $25 million
that is collected on that project is used to pay the annual payments.
MR. WILLIAMSON: To the region.
MR. SAENZ: Well, to the department and then the
department applies that money to the region.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Without calculating operating expenses
or maintenance.
MR. SAENZ: Operations and maintenance come in
afterwards.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So it's a piece of gross revenue.
MR. SAENZ: It's a piece of gross revenue.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So the discount rate on gross revenue
is 5 percent.
MR. SAENZ: The discount rate on gross revenue is 5
percent.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Now tell me why the NTTA cash flow
should be treated differently.
MR. SAENZ: I'm going to go back and show you.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I'd rather you just tell me.
MR. SAENZ: Well, if you look at, if you look at
priority one with the first bucket is where the money from the Cintra proposal
comes in. Under the NTTA proposal, the first bucket, first priority is operation
and maintenance, so you've got to fill that bucket before it starts to flow to
the second bucket. That is why there's a risk and that is why
PricewaterhouseCoopers elected to say we're going to discount that money at a
higher rate to be able to determine net present value.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Do they deduct operation and
maintenance of just the 121 asset?
MR. SAENZ: Since the system is backing it up and it's
the same indenture, it's the operation and maintenance of the entire system.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Of course, that could be a good thing
because their system, as we understand it, is financially strong.
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So maybe the discount rate should be 4
percent.
MR. SAENZ: Well, they chose to go 5 percent, between
5.6 and 6.2 or 6.3. That resulted in lowering that $833 million to somewhere
between $600 million and $700 million.
With respect to the public benefit, the public
benefit, as you recall under the NTTA proposal, that money is what I would call
the surplus money or the money after you pay your operation and maintenance, you
pay your annual payments, you pay all the other costs, so it is what I would
call surplus money. That money, as was presented in the proposal, would be money
that would be available to the region to build other projects. They're saying
that's coming in at a lot lower level of that waterfall, or they call it maybe a
residual, so that money needs to be discounted at a much higher rate, and for
that they used somewhere between 10 and 12-1/2 percent. When you do that then
the $1.36 billion that the NTTA proposal had submitted that originally was
discounted at 5, that dropped to somewhere between $500 million to $700 million.
So the revenue-sharing the CDA required had a banding
model that would allow that when traffic reaches so much then revenue bands
would kick in and any traffic above that or any revenue above that would require
that extra money comes into the region or to TxDOT. Under this normalized base
case, Pricewaterhouse showed zero money for the Cintra proposal. They said that
it would not reach those levels so they did not give them any credit.
MR. WILLIAMSON: And why was that? Was that based on
their perception of transactions, perception of customer base?
MR. SAENZ: I believe, if I remember correctly -- and
James, you can correct me -- that was based on the projected revenue and the
traffic and revenue that they were using on this normalized base case model.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Pricewaterhouse was using it.
MR. SAENZ: Yes.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Were they using NTTA's numbers, Wilbur
Smith's numbers, Cintra's numbers, Senator Carona's numbers, Ric Williamson's
numbers? I mean, whose numbers were they using?
MR. SAENZ: They were using a number that they looked
at based on several scenarios that were in the model, something close to what
the NTTA scenario on traffic was.
MR. WILLIAMSON: What I'm trying to get at, Amadeo --
and again, I apologize, members, if I seem a bit aggressive with Amadeo, but
this is an important decision we're going to make today -- there's no chance
that we took Cintra's transaction numbers and applied them to the NTTA model or
the NTTA transaction numbers and applied them to the Cintra model in doing this
analysis to the detriment of either one of them. And Pricewaterhouse used
transactions that were neutral as to the models.
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Fast Jimmy Bass is excited over here.
I must have said something to make him mad.
MR. BASS: Good morning. For the record, I'm James
Bass, chief financial officer at TxDOT. Hopefully to add some clarification, in
the normalized base case, what Pricewaterhouse did is they picked a set of
traffic numbers and they applied them to both the NTTA model and the Cintra
model and that produced the numbers that you see up on the screen right now.
Earlier you may have seen figures that were NTTA figures based upon their
assumptions of traffic and revenue and Cintra's figures based upon their
assumption of traffic and revenue. Well, I can make my number be whatever I want
it to be by just changing my assumption of traffic and revenue, and so by
normalizing, what Pricewaterhouse attempted to do was to level the field -- and
they went through a number of different scenarios that I think Amadeo is going
to walk you through -- to say well, if I assume traffic is at Level A, B and C,
what are the results at those three different levels of both of the models.
And that's what they went through and presented to the
RTC so in this case the traffic assumptions for both NTTA and Cintra are the
same in the numbers you see before you.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Okay.
MR. SAENZ: So with both numbers being the same, then
of course, when you look at that subtotal there in the middle, the NTTA proposal
was valued at somewhere between $3.2 billion to $3.4 billion, the Cintra
proposal was valued at about $2.8 billion.
Then there was a requirement in the CDA that talked
about interoperability and there was a lot of discussion on interoperability. We
had a requirement that the Cintra proposal had to include a payment of 8 percent
for interoperability during the years of the contract. Interoperability, that's
when Houston tags travel on their system.
MR. WILLIAMSON: You need to talk normal person talk,
Amadeo. I don't think anybody understands what you just said.
MR. SAENZ: Interoperability, we have right now a
gentlemen's agreement.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Who's we?
MR. SAENZ: NTTA, HCTRA, TxDOT. We issue toll tags,
NTTA issues toll tags, HCTRA issues toll tags. When a customer of TxDOT drives
on the NTTA system, we get a bill from NTTA for that transaction. Under the
gentlemen's agreement -- which has not been finalized -- we were talking about
charging 8 percent as a fee for me to process and send the money back to NTTA.
So they bill me a dollar, I keep 8 cents and I send them 92 cents.
MR. WILLIAMSON: And does that happen in reverse?
MR. SAENZ: It happens in reverse. So if an NTTA
customer drives on one of the TxDOT toll roads, we send the dollar charge, they
keep 8 cents, send me 92 cents.
MR. WILLIAMSON: What has that got to do with Cintra?
MR. SAENZ: Cintra, in the CDA, was required to use
NTTA for the first five years.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Required to use them for what?
MR. SAENZ: For providing the back office, the toll
collection and services. After five years they could change.
MR. WILLIAMSON: That was a requirement of the
contract?
MR. SAENZ: That was a requirement in the CDA.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Was that required of the other two
private sector people who proposed?
MR. SAENZ: It was a requirement of the CDA of all of
them.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So everybody knew that no matter who
won the proposal at that time, they had to participate in that gentlemen's
agreement that we participate in.
MR. SAENZ: They made a requirement of the CDA so they
included the 8 percent interoperability fee for the life of the concession. but
really it was more important after the first five years because apparently their
intention was after the first five years they were going to take over their own
toll collection operations.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Why?
MR. SAENZ: That was their model in their proposal.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Why were they going to take over their
own operations?
MR. SAENZ: They thought that they could do it cheaper.
Remember that this was a competition, they were competing against two other
private firms and based on their model and their costs, their model showed that
they were going to switch over to reduce their costs and operations by doing it
themselves or contracting it to someone else.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So what does the $500 million have to
do with that 8 percent?
MR. SAENZ: Well, in their proposal, because now
they've moved away, the toll tags from the NTTA system now fall under the same
interoperability requirement. Now, even though the project is in Dallas, if an
NTTA customer would drive on the 121 project, send the bill to NTTA, Cintra was
doing their own back office, NTTA would keep 8 cents, send 92 back.
What Pricewaterhouse saw in that the NTTA proposal did
not show that the 8 percent was the cost that NTTA was using for this
interoperability charge and back office charge for this, so they said that the
money that Cintra was paying was, in essence, additional money that was
available to NTTA that could be used for developing projects in the region and
they elected to give Cintra a credit of that $500 million net present value.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Let me think about that for a second.
MR. SAENZ: Let me try to explain it in English.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Just normal person.
MR. SAENZ: Normal person. They estimated that the
costs for those transaction fees were maybe not 8 cents but maybe they were 2
cents. That 6 cents is additional money that's available to do other projects
that goes into the NTTA fund accounts. So they were saying because that's
available, it's really money that's not expenditure, that money is available for
NTTA to do more projects in the region so it's a public benefit for the region.
So they were giving Cintra credit.
Cintra further clarified at the RTC meeting that they
were going to provide that money no matter what and it's built in their proposal
whether it costs or not, so that money would be provided and so that further
strengthened the Pricewaterhouse assumption of giving them credit for that.
MR. HOLMES: But Amadeo, if NTTA were operating it and
their costs were 2 cents, wouldn't they also be keeping the difference, that
extra 6 cents?
MR. SAENZ: Well, during the first five years that NTTA
was operating, they were not paying interoperability because NTTA was the
operator. They had reached an agreement on, I would say, a cold transaction cost
for providing those services, so it was included in the contract between Cintra
and NTTA.
MR. HOUGHTON: That's from six on out.
MR. SAENZ: The interoperability is from six to 50. The
toll service agreement contract was from one to five.
MR. HOLMES: I understand that, but if it costs 2
cents, they still keep the balance of, it if they're the owner-operator, they
still keep the notional 6 cents, it just happens to be called something else.
MR. SAENZ: Right, they still keep that. What they're
saying, it would show up in the public benefit side of the NTTA proposal because
it's additional money available for other projects. It's additional money that's
not an expense to the 121 project so it's surplus revenue that's available under
the public benefit side.
The other thing that Pricewaterhouse did, they said
because Cintra is a private entity, they would have to pay some federal taxes,
and they calculated that to be about $100 million net present value. So when you
looked at that, then you looked at the final value, the estimated what they call
financial value capture of the two proposals, they wind up being pretty close
based on this normalized traffic.
They also went up ahead and did the scenario for an
upside case and for an upside case where they said traffic would go up by 15
percent of the normal case, and when they did those numbers -- I won't go
through the whole thing -- the final numbers again showed that both proposals
were pretty comparable. So if traffic were to increase above the base case, they
still would be pretty comparable.
Now, they also went back and did a scenario of what
happens if the opposite happens and that instead of getting more traffic from
the base case, you get less traffic, and under the less traffic, because the
Cintra proposal has guarantees, they stayed at $3.3-, but the NTTA proposal
dropped to $2.8- to $3.0-.
So that was presented to the RTC, and of course, that
leads to the conversation of what happens with traffic and what are the right
traffic projections. The RTC members asked the RTC staff to look at traffic and
they came up -- because the data is in models and is proprietary by all parties,
the Cintra model is in escrow, the NTTA model information was also considered
proprietary and we could not share the numbers and use the numbers, they did a
comparison just based on -- they compared one to the other without putting
numbers.
And when you looked at the different models, the
Cintra traffic was somewhere on the right side, the higher range, the NTTA
traffic was lower than the Cintra traffic by a percentage, and then, of course,
the RTC staff was asked to run their volume based on their modeling and their
demographics. And then what they showed was the non-tolled would be what they
projected the traffic to be for a non-tolled facility and what RTC projected the
traffic to be for a tolled facility.
So this is presented to you all so you can see there
is a range of traffic, and really the final question is which traffic numbers do
you believe. If you believe that the traffic volumes are high, then the
proposals are about equal; if you believe that the traffic numbers in the normal
case they're about equal, but when the traffic drops to below those projected
traffic volumes or those normal traffic volumes, then the private sector
proposal, because of the guarantees and the traffic risk being kept and borne by
the developer on this particular project, that project seems to hold up by
itself as a better project than the public project.
MR. UNDERWOOD: Amadeo, let me ask you a question. So
you're saying that if they missed the traffic count that the Cintra project
looks better, if it's lower. Is that correct?
MR. SAENZ: If the traffic count is lower than the
normal case, then the Cintra project would be better.
MR. UNDERWOOD: Because of the fact that it's
guaranteed cash.
MR. SAENZ: Because of the fact that it's guaranteed
cash.
MR. UNDERWOOD: Now, my next question to that is if
NTTA's program doesn't cash flow, what happens to the other projects that are
involved in the RTC deal that they're trying to build besides the 121?
MR. SAENZ: If the project does not cash flow or
traffic is less in this project, then the system steps in to cover those
shortfalls. And of course, depending on how much revenue you have on the system,
then you may cover it with your surplus revenue in the system, but if you don't,
then you will have to raise your toll rates on the system to cover those
shortfalls.
MR. UNDERWOOD: But that's just to make it cash flow,
but the whole idea of this is to actually have more money to put back into the
area to build other roads, and if you don't have that money, then who's going to
have to pay for those other roads?
MR. WILLIAMSON: I think he's speaking of the other
projects.
MR. SAENZ: Right. Well, if you were committing your
surplus revenue to build other projects and you have to use the surplus revenue
to fund the shortfall on this project, then those other projects need to be
delayed or you're going to have to find an alternate funding source.
MR. UNDERWOOD: Which means they would come back to
TxDOT.
MR. SAENZ: They could come back to RTC or TxDOT to
request money for those other projects. That's one option, yes.
MR. HOLMES: Amadeo, in the low traffic scenario that
values the Cintra proposal higher than NTTA's, does that make the assumption
that the full faith and credit of NTTA, that stream of payments, is discounted,
is not given credit for that stream of payments? How else would you get there
other than assuming that the full faith and credit of NTTA was inadequate to
cover those payments?
MR. SAENZ: I'll let James answer that.
MR. BASS: If you recall back to the NTTA base case and
the public benefit of the $1.3 billion when you use the 5 percent discount rate,
that's the bottom bucket. And I think what Pricewaterhouse was saying, if they
used a lower traffic and revenue number, all of the buckets don't get filled up
such that $1.3 billion does not flow through to the bottom bucket anymore, it's
a much lesser amount, and because a significant portion of the value of the NTTA
proposal is from that public benefit from the bottom bucket, when you adjust
traffic and revenues down, the bottom bucket doesn't fill up as much. If you
adjust it up, the bottom bucket fills up more and there's more value associated
with it.
MR. HOLMES: The bottom bucket wouldn't fill up under
low traffic scenario, whether it's Cintra or NTTA.
MR. BASS: But Cintra's proposal does not -- as big a
proportion of Cintra's proposal is not reliant upon that bottom bucket as NTTA's
is.
MR. HOUGHTON: It's called traffic risk. Are you not
moving the traffic risk? They're assuming Cintra is assuming the traffic risk,
low or otherwise.
MR. BASS: Correct. And so if you look at -- you
basically come back to this earlier sheet, the bottom bucket represents the .5
to .7 billion on NTTA's model and on the Cintra you see --
MR. HOUGHTON: Under public benefit?
MR. BASS: Yes, sir.
MR. HOUGHTON: Okay.
MR. BASS: And that's represented by the bottom bucket,
if you will, in the waterfall. Everything's been filled up and it's surplus or
excess revenue. On the Cintra side the value of that is zero, and so you lower
the traffic projections and it doesn't have as much of an impact as Cintra
because they -- another way to look at it is a larger proportion of Cintra's
payment or value is guaranteed than under the NTTA model. The public benefit,
the .5 to .7, is subject to those traffic risks and traffic assumptions.
MR. HOUGHTON: This is based on one of the projects we
did with Cintra, 5 and 6, where we took off the gross and not the net, net after
operations. So they take the traffic risk, we take the revenue.
MR. WILLIAMSON: But correct me if I'm wrong, James --
I'm just, again, trying to understand this as a normal person and not as a
highway person -- what you're saying, in effect, is at the lower traffic risk
there's no excess cash flow from Cintra and there's no excess cash flow from
them either, and so if I subtract this, this is still $3 billion compared to
$2.8-.
MR. BASS: Right. Under that case there, the numbers
change because some of the interoperability payment and different things. The
one slide that I had here handy, that's the upside case, and so if we look at --
I'll borrow Amadeo's notes -- that's more relevant here and the impact is not as
large on the NTTA value but under this downside case where traffic is lower than
anticipated, the public benefit under NTTA is somewhere between $100- and $200
million and on the Cintra side it's zero.
And so in this case you would take the $2.8- to $3.0-
and adjust it down on the NTTA model but there would be no adjustment on the
Cintra column.
MR. HOLMES: Why wouldn't the profit between cost and
collection assumption on interoperability be allocated on both sides? If it
costs 2 cents and they charge 8, why isn't that a benefit to NTTA either way?
MR. BASS: I think it would be and I think what
Pricewaterhouse was saying is on that public benefit, if NTTA is getting 8 cents
and it is costing 2, that 6 cents surplus is going to flow through the waterfall
and eventually end up in the bottom bucket on the public benefit line. Well, if
Cintra is paying 8 cents to cover 2 cents cost, that same 6 cents is going to
flow through the waterfall and end up at the same place, but in the initial
Cintra model, there was no value being assessed or assigned to that surplus
revenue.
MR. HOLMES: Why wouldn't it be added to both sides?
MR. BASS: It's already included in the NTTA column
under the public benefit because that money would flow through to the bottom
bucket and it's already there.
One other thing, and not to get too technical in
interoperability.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Keep it normal.
MR. BASS: NTTA is doing the collections on the NTTA
road, an NTTA tag drives down 121, there is no interoperability fee, there is
simply the day-to-day, normal toll collection cost. And what
PricewaterhouseCoopers did in analyzing NTTA's model, they looked at it and
said, What are your toll collection costs on 121? And I believe NTTA said, We
look at the incremental costs when a road comes onto the system and we identify
the incremental costs, and so that toll collection cost is minimal. I obviously
won't say it's zero but I think it was a minimal cost and that's what
Pricewaterhouse was able to see in the model.
They then looked at Cintra saying I'm going to pay
NTTA to collect these charges for me in year six forward and I'm going to pay
them 8 cents on every dollar. Well, if NTTA tells you their cost is 1 or 2 cents
to collect that and somebody is paying them 8 cents, then that extra 6 cents is
going to flow through the waterfall and end up in that bottom bucket and be a
benefit to the NTTA system and therefore to the region.
And so they had a discrepancy in what NTTA was showing
as cost of toll collections in their model compared to what Cintra had in their
model to pay NTTA for those same services, and it was higher in that case. And
the Cintra model was pre 792.
And so NTTA rightly says, well, interoperability now
is really a moot point because my understanding -- and the attorneys may correct
me -- is under 792 NTTA will be the toll collection service provider, if Cintra
were chosen, for the full 50-year term. So when an NTTA tag drives down 121,
whether it's year three or year 33, it would not be considered an
interoperability transaction. It's an NTTA tag, NTTA is collecting it, there's
no interoperability fee. And so I think the conclusion there was so you need to
ignore the interoperability agreement on the Cintra side.
What Cintra said is well, in our bid we have a cost of
8 percent for these toll collection services and we at Cintra don't care if
we're paying the RTC 8 percent or TxDOT 8 percent or NTTA 8 percent, we're going
to continue to pay and we're committed to pay that 8 percent regardless of what
the cost is as a benefit going back to the region.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Because that was what they agreed to
in their contract.
MR. BASS: That was in their model, that was in their
bid, and they were committed to stay with that bid and said, Hey, if you don't
want the check written out to NTTA, you want it payable to the RTC, we'll
continue to write that check because that's what's in our model.
MR. HOUGHTON: James, what is the toll rate increase,
the assumption here?
MR. BASS: The assumption on the NTTA model assumes
that CPI will be 2.75 percent and in the Cintra model it assumes an inflation of
2-1/2 percent. So the toll rates would escalate faster under the NTTA model than
they would under the Cintra model.
MR. HOUGHTON: And this model is the same rate or are
we showing the 2.75 to 2.5?
MR. WILLIAMSON: Well, wait a minute, that's not
accurate, James. Ted, sorry, but that's not an accurate statement because
Amadeo, in his layout, has said the NTTA proposal does not adhere to the RTC
toll policy.
MR. HOUGHTON: I know, but for the analysis purpose.
MR. BASS: I think it may be somewhat of a technical
issue. The RTC policy says you can adjust your toll rates every two years by
whatever consumer price index is, whatever inflation is.
MR. HOUGHTON: The max?
MR. BASS: And if over that two-year period inflation
is 6 percent or higher, you then need to bring in another index, an Employment
Cost Index, into the equation, and you'll pick the lower of the two. So if
inflation is less than 6 percent over a two-year period, that's what you'll use;
if it's higher than 6 percent, you'll use the lower of the two.
So as a bidder, as a proposer, one of the key elements
to my bid and the value of my bid is what do I think inflation is going to be
over the next 50 years. Embedded in the models and the assumptions, NTTA assumed
that CPI was going to be 2.75 percent a year, less than the perceived maximum of
3, and Cintra assumed 2-1/2 percent. And I won't surmise a guess as to the
likelihood of this happening, but through a series of events, under the NTTA
model if the revenue from 121 was not sufficient to cover all the costs
associated with it and the annual payments, NTTA would first look to the rest of
their system, look at if there's surplus revenue that could subsidize the 121
agreement. If not, they would raise the rates on that and the rates on the rest
of the system, of course, are not subject to this toll rate policy.
But at some point you reach a point of elasticity that
if you start charging more, you're actually going to lose revenue and it's a
losing game. So then they might be forced to look at raising the rates on 121,
and they have covenants and agreements with bondholders out there that say
you've made agreements to me as the bondholder to do XYZ and maintain certain
coverage ratios, and if you don't meet them, as a bondholder I have the right to
come in and demand that you raise your toll rates. And the demands of the
bondholders on the entire system, I believe, would have precedence over any toll
rate agreement with the RTC.
And again, I'm not saying that's a likely scenario but
as you go through and what-if over a 50-year period --
MR. HOUGHTON: There's no cap on the toll rate?
MR. BASS: There could be. And so one of the things
that's uncertain and unclear at this point is not only what would NTTA be
willing to agree to but what would they be able to agree to under their existing
bond indentures and agreements with their bondholders. And that was just
something we weren't precisely clear on and something we would recommend would
need to be cleared up.
MR. HOUGHTON: Is there a cap under the Cintra
proposal?
MR. BASS: Yes.
MR. HOUGHTON: Is there a cap under the NTTA proposal?
MR. BASS: I believe they are committed to staying
under that cap, at all times, but I don't think there's a 100 percent guarantee
because they also have to protect the rights and interests of their bondholders.
MR. HOUGHTON: The cap under Cintra, what's the max per
every other year?
MR. WILLIAMSON: Well, the max is whatever the RTC
policy says it is.
MR. BASS: Correct. And if inflation is above 6
percent, the cap would be the lower of the two. So looking out for the next 50
years, I can't tell you with any certainty what it would be.
MR. HOUGHTON: But I'm saying there is a cap.
MR. SAENZ: Yes.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Amadeo, have you finished your initial
layout?
MS. ANDRADE: I have a question, and I know we're
talking about the downside case, but everything I'm looking at -- unless there's
something that no one has told me -- is that this region continues to look like
it's going to continue growing. Right? That's what we're looking at. Is that
correct?
MR. SAENZ: Yes.
MS. ANDRADE: And although it's wonderful that we state
that Cintra has guaranteed payments in there, if this should not happen, if the
growth should not occur -- I'm sure then it wouldn't occur throughout the
state -- as a business I'm sure they'll come back in a couple of times of having
to put money out of their own pockets to say, Look, we need to renegotiate this,
it's not happening as we thought. I mean, they're a business and they're not
going to be there losing money every year. So even though it's great that it's a
guaranteed payment, I think that's still up for discussion if the growth does
not occur.
MR. SAENZ: For the Cintra proposal, under the contract
that they prepared their proposal, that risk is borne by them. Not that they
couldn't come back and ask, there's no harm in asking, but the contract is
binding and they are taking the traffic risk.
MS. ANDRADE: I know they're taking full risk, but I'm
saying as a business person I would not go on year after year, if the growth
does not occur, making guaranteed payments, so even that is subject for
question.
MR. SAENZ: And then we would default them, they would
be in default, and the road would come back to the state.
MS. ANDRADE: Or to NTTA.
MR. SAENZ: Under the Cintra proposal, it comes back to
the state and then we continue to operate it.
MS. ANDRADE: I guess in my mind I just think then the
community would suffer, but these are all professionals and they understand
that.
MR. HOLMES: Amadeo, is there another way to look at
the minimum/maximum toll rates? Under any type of privatized contract, there
virtually has to be a cap on the toll rate increases. Simply from a public
standpoint, you would have to cap the ability of the private operator to
increase toll rates. It seems to me that when a public entity is the
owner-operator -- assuming NTTA -- wouldn't it be better to have a minimum toll
rate increase? I mean, currently the charges are well below market. Right? Isn't
that our assumption, the toll rates are well below market? If I were looking at
it from the concern of how the cash flows might work, being the RTC's side, I
might be more interested in having a minimum rate of increase if it were NTTA,
rather than a cap. That way they're encouraged to keep more current relative to
what market rates might be.
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir. What the RTC did is they looked
at the elasticity curve that was run on this project. They looked at the toll
rates as were being charged in the region and across the state and they chose
their initial toll rate to be 14-1/2 cents versus other toll rates that are
being charged in the different systems, some of them run around 10 cents per
mile. So they chose that initial toll rate to be at a higher level.
And their position was that they wanted to cap the
maximum amount, they were looking at CPI to kind of keep up with inflation, and
then they were worried about those years when you could get a real high
inflation increase and they said in that case we'll go look at this other
indicator to make sure and we'll pick the lower of the two. That was the toll
schedule that the RTC gave us to put into the proposal.
MR. HOLMES: But that was based on a private operator.
MR. SAENZ: It was based on a private operator, yes,
sir.
MR. HOLMES: Not a public operator.
MR. SAENZ: Right, because the project was being
developed through the CDA process.
MR. HOUGHTON: But there are caps on the current RTC,
they have a standard, they have put caps in for toll rate increases.
MR. SAENZ: Yes.
MR. HOUGHTON: And that seems to be a real sticking
point around the state, and especially in the toll-sensitive areas, that the
hysteria has been toll rates are going to go through the roof if the private
sector gets it, vis-a-vis, a letter that I got this morning that says: SH 121
has no parallel facilities; it is imperative toll rates remain at reasonable
levels for the economic future in our area; placing such a key part of our
roadway network in the hands for a profit private corporation will lead to toll
rates which will harm our mobility, air quality and financial future for our
business and citizens.
Is that an accurate statement under this proposal?
MR. SAENZ: The toll rates were capped. Now, the RTC
and Michael Morris is here, but the RTC went through some public involvement and
several hearings to come up with this toll rate policy.
MR. HOUGHTON: Most every letter I have gotten from the
area has focused in on toll rates, and the hysteria and the misunderstanding or
misconception that toll rates are capped, and that was by the RTC, not by us.
Right?
MR. SAENZ: We got the toll rates from the RTC.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Are you near the end of your initial
layout?
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir, pretty much. I presented what was
presented to the RTC. When you look at what was presented, one of the key
variables is traffic, and that traffic will have an impact on the valuation of
this facility, and that's going to be really what the determining factor is.
The other things, kind of in summary, because the
proposal from NTTA is not following and can be entered into through the CDA that
we had for the private sector, there is no agreement, so it's very hard to
determine what will be the actual value of that if you don't know what the
agreement will require and guarantee. So those things need to be established
first so then you can determine what the true value of that proposal is.
MR. HOUGHTON: Another question. What was the
recommendation of PricewaterhouseCoopers?
MR. SAENZ: PricewaterhouseCoopers presented all these
numbers and, of course, in looking at this thing they presented the numbers and
they didn't make a recommendation at either of the meetings I was at. They just
presented to the RTC the different scenarios and the methodology that they used.
And their statement was pretty much this: What traffic do you believe is the
traffic that will occur on this facility?
MR. WILLIAMSON: Well, I think if we're near the end of
his initial layout, we've got maybe four main characters in the play: we've got
us, we've got the RTC, we've got NTTA, and we've got Cintra.
MR. HOUGHTON: Characters?
MR. WILLIAMSON: It's a word, description. Now, Cintra
and NTTA have a proprietary interest in our decision. Right now we're just
trying to gather information.
MR. HOUGHTON: Right.
MR. WILLIAMSON: If he's through with his initial
layout, what I'd like to do, with your permission, is ask Mr. Morris to come up
and answer some of these questions that you're directing to Amadeo, because I
think he can speak to the RTC's actions perhaps more to the point than Amadeo
can regurgitate them. If you don't mind, Mr. Morris.
MR. MORRIS: No problem. My character is Michael
Morris, director of Transportation at the North Central Texas Council of
Governments. I have just a few overview remarks and then will take all your
questions.
Before I start, Mr. Behrens, this is the first meeting
I've been at where you have announced your retirement, and I think we should
take a minute and celebrate more than three decades of public service.
Congratulations to you. You've worked very hard for this particular state, and
for those of us who have worked with you, I wanted to congratulate you on that
service.
We have an elected official in Dallas-Fort Worth,
former chair of the Regional Transportation Council, Sid Stall [phonetic], and
when I was a young person coming up -- I don't think it was necessarily his
phrase but I've heard it a lot: There's two times to plant a tree, 20 years ago
and today. And my hope is today we can plant a tree to move us along, heal
wounds, get us the transportation funds necessary to jump start what probably is
close to $7 billion worth of projects in the next three years.
Most of the heavy lifting has already been done. From
the statistics you see, you see two very competing individuals, both wishing to
hand $6 billion to the public sector to build projects. We should focus on the
positive elements and not necessarily the negative elements with regard to that.
We are no longer in a situation where we take 50 percent of our gas tax to put
into a transportation project with no return back to the gas tax side of the
agenda. We have in front of us billions of dollars to jump start transportation
projects as well as build more.
Now let me lay out very quickly four points. These are
the four elements, I think, to plant this tree. First, the Regional
Transportation Council spent ten hours reviewing the details of these particular
proposals. We're more than happy to prepare for you a defense, using state law
of equal or better value, on why we should move ahead with the North Texas
Tollway Authority proposal. I've got several RTC members here today, they're
welcome to add or subtract from what I have to say.
The bottom line to, I think, the Pricewaterhouse
report is you're comparing a private sector proposal which is very skilled and
very mature with a public sector proposal that had probably somewhere around 60
days to be put together. Some of the risks you're seeing associated with the
evaluation is the maturity that still has to occur on the North Texas Tollway
Authority proposal. I know of no one that is saying: Well, if NTTA doesn't come
up with $2.5 billion or $833 million or other particular requirements, we should
still go with NTTA. The assumption on the part of the Regional Transportation
Council is that those commitments are actually going to occur and should occur
with regard to their particular proposal.
The second point is this particular project is in the
fastest growing area of the region, probably the highest income area of the
region. The Regional Transportation Council is saying: You know what, this is
all about risk; we can either as government become a shell and take the private
sector particular position and let them absorb the risk, or we on the government
side can bet on ourselves. And what I think the regional Transportation Council
has said is: You know what, we're going to bet on ourselves, we think the
Dallas-Fort Worth region, fourth largest region in the country, 19th largest
economy in the world, we'll bet on ourselves, the upside benefit of that will be
more money for transportation to be spent in our particular region.
Number two, we still need some clarity with regard to
the federal position on 121. I think it's becoming clearer and clearer every
day, letters seem to be coming in. There seems to be some definition of the
federal interest to be identified by not what has already been built on 121 but
what has yet to be built on 121, and we need some due diligence to make sure the
RTC's projects that are still on 121 don't have any federal funds in them, and
work out the details with regard to how to move forward without obviously
alienating the federal interest in this.
The third element is the private sector and what legal
action the private sector may take. You have to be determined, but as I told the
Regional Transportation Council, who wanted a briefing on the legal issues, I
told Pricewaterhouse to not quantify what the federal positions may be or what
the risks to the private sector lawsuit may be, if any, because there's no way
you can estimate what the particular value is. So we have put those issues on
the side and we are focused on the NTTA proposal.
Number 4 is the NTTA proposal. There are several
elements that I think are important that the RTC considered and why they think
the NTTA proposal is stronger.
First, $2.5 billion. $2.5 billion is an up front
payment. If it isn't an up-front payment, then NTTA shouldn't get the award. But
if NTTA produces $2.5 billion in a time frame that they've committed to, then
there is no discount of that particular value, it's $2.5 billion.
Second, excess revenue. North Texas Tollway Authority
is reaching out, as they too try to plant this tree, with $833 million up front.
Now, remember this is a very interesting twist because now we're changing state
law. We worked hard, you supported us, we got now interest to be credited to the
region based on funds that are put into your Fund 6 that are dedicated to our
area. So in the case of the Cintra proposal, there's an increment of $25
million, a net present value of $700 million, but $25 million coming every year.
What we're working towards with NTTA is an $833 million payment which doesn't
come to us in $26 million payments over time, that $833 million comes into that
account in cash on day one.
That day one cash up front -- not day one, let's say
three months in or whatever the commitment that they made -- remember now what
happens, you're not getting $25 million a year in that particular account, 10
percent interest is $830-, 5 percent interest is $40 million, you get the
equivalent of $25- or $30 million a year in excess revenue plus you get the
benefit of potentially $30 million in interest. Now, if the state law hadn't
changed, that $30 million would be residing within the NTTA revenue stream.
Now, if we can get that commitment nailed down up
front, you get a $25 million a year or so excess revenue payment, and you
actually get interest that potentially is greater than the excess revenue
payment. After federal rescissions, that $30 million a year is close to what we
get in congestion mitigation air quality funds, just as an example, for our
particular region.
Third, we do have to tighten down the toll rate plan.
Lots of communities misunderstand tremendously, Commissioner, that issue. We get
letters all the time that say you've got to go with NTTA because we can't risk
the private sector escalation of rates. We've worked very hard between Bill Hale
and Frisco over the last month so everyone understands what the RTC's pricing
policy is. If you apply that policy over the last 25 years, it would be about 2
percent a year increase in tolls. Who knows if the next 25 years or 50 years
will be similar to that, so I think we owe the region a white paper or position
paper or something where the RTC, if NTTA is chosen, we clarify what that
particular policy would be, and my hope is NTTA would honor the RTC's policy as
part of that particular element, go in and use their revenues and their system
financing if things don't meet the expectations, but maybe as a second or third
last resort come back to the 121 folks with regard to those toll increases.
Senate Bill 792 in that discussion has a whole bunch
of while that was being debated. Senator Carona and others have weighed in with
regard to the critical nature of NTTA to deliver other projects. I think the
issue is the other projects. I know we've spent a lot of time here on the 121
finance, that's all well and good. You could bring in eight economists and flip
a coin, the RTC has already determined that NTTA is the right proposal, what we
would like to do is work out with NTTA, using 792, and in an expedited fashion
get that commitment nailed down from NTTA with regard to those particular
projects. They've committed it to Senator Carona, they've committed it to the
Regional Transportation Council, I think we've got to tighten up those
particular commitments so we can move forward with regard to those particular
elements.
The other opportunity we have is potentially a
floating construction cost. NTTA's proposal is a high contingency, that
particular revenue, if not used on 121, maybe can go help build another project.
And remember, these are all discussions that occur within the same region,
public sector to public sector. You open up those particular questions with the
private sector, those get complicated because of the contractual nature that you
have with a private sector entity. I think that's the RTC's probably bottom line
position.
The last thing to point out is the $1.3 billion worth
of public benefit. I stood here probably a year ago with an idea where the RTC
had what is called irregular mobility dividends. That idea is we have NTTA use
their horizontal leveraging capability to help build other projects. At certain
points in time in the future, they may get into a situation where they have
excess bonding capacity and then they could commit that bonding capacity to help
the region build more projects. And at their meeting this past week, the
commission has passed a resolution pledging to the local governments and the RTC
and others a partnership position with regard to what you saw on the table as a
public benefit.
I think the region has come an awful long way in a
short amount of time. Fourteen months ago, NTTA presented a proposal to the
Regional Transportation Council that they could not come up with up-front money.
The Regional Transportation Council rejected it, they wanted competition.
Commissioner Houghton, you and I have always talked about the benefits of this
whole process has been competition. Competition has occurred, everyone has
weighed in. You go from no up-front money to $2.5 billion, $833 million with
interest, partnership position with $1.3 billion.
The only issue that remains in my mind is for the RTC
to tighten down NTTA's commitments so you no longer have a risk situation of
evaluating a proposal that's very mature with a proposal that still has the I's
to be dotted and the T's to be crossed.
RTC has spent lots of emotional time on it, the
region's suggestion, with all due respect, is to create a situation that brings
closure to this process so we can move out on $2.5 billion worth of additional
transportation projects, sit down, nail down that toll escalation policy, sit
down, nail down four or five other toll road projects, so we can be a generation
known to build projects and not a generation that just discusses or wants to
build projects.
With that, Mr. Chairman, I'd be happy to take any
questions.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Well, I have some whenever you and
Amadeo get through laying out, but right there towards the end you said
something, Michael, that's kind of the nut for us. You talk about tightening up,
nailing down, tightening up those commitments. The situation we find ourselves
in is we have a binding contract in the left hand, there is no tighten up, there
is no nail down, there's no wishy-washy, there's no round up pitchforks and burn
Austin down, it is a contract ready to execute, write you a check and start
constructing. That's in my left hand; in my right hand is a one-inch thick
document of promises.
Now, I'm not lecturing, Michael. You know that you're
a favorite person in this building and we weigh heavily what you say, and when
you recommend things to us, it's a strong thing. But talk is cheap. This is a
written contract, signed. This is a bunch of promises based on a motion, and a
motion will not reduce congestion, will not improve air quality, will not bring
safety to our streets, it will not attract and retain jobs, and it will not
preserve the value of our transportation system which every two years is eroded
by other sources. So how are we to look at this?
MR. MORRIS: Mr. Chairman, I don't hear the RTC saying
we have this terrific opportunity in hand, let's go take a flyer with something
that may not occur at all. What I hear them saying is we have this particular
position at hand, can you, as a commission, set 30 days, 15 days, 45 days and
say, Okay, NTTA, we understand what your promises are, Michael and others have
laid out six critical elements, you need to tighten up those promises so it is
as tight a commitment as you have in your hand right now.
So when they say, Well, we will close in 60 days or
our financing is contingent on some sort of element, I think the RTC is saying
let's give them an opportunity to do that. Now, if they fail and say we can't
close in 60 days or we thought we could put a bond up front, we discovered we
can't do that, then I think it's a different day. I don't hear the RTC saying we
don't care, we'll take $3 billion less and so on and so forth. What I think
they're saying is we have on the table a proposal, to some it's more than a
proposal, it's a binding commitment, I think the RTC has said let's dot the I's
and cross the T's on that binding commitment, if that binding commitment is just
as firm in the left hand is just as firm as in the right hand, the RTC is saying
this right-hand commitment is stronger for the reasons I gave.
If this right hand never materializes in 30 days or 15
days or whatever your discretion is, then I think the RTC would very much want
to proceed with the commitments that are there. I don't think the RTC wants this
issue to go on very much longer, but I think they're saying we have a proposal
that has potentially some upside benefits that obviously need to be tightened
down but maybe there's a way you can establish a contingency, a time frame, to
give the NTTA the opportunity to deliver those details up back to the
satisfaction and as tight as you already have in your left hand.
MS. ANDRADE: And Michael, what is that realistic time
frame?
MR. MORRIS: Well, I think there's two ways to do it. I
would set a 30-day, no more than five-page principle agreement that sets out
exactly that time frame of which some of those deadlines may still occur after
the 30 days, or set a 60-day time frame, drop dead, not only are these the five
page of principles that everybody has agreed to, here is the check for $2.5
billion or here is whatever the other elements that are in that particular
principle. That, I think, is what the RTC is asking for.
MR. HOUGHTON: Let me ask you a question, Michael. Are
you suggesting that it just be the RTC and NTTA, RTC staff and NTTA?
MR. MORRIS: No. There's a lot of very high quality
people that have been in this process for a long time. We went out and got
Pricewaterhouse because there was criticism in the region that some of your
staff may be not as unbiased as they should be.
MR. HOUGHTON: Or forthcoming.
MR. MORRIS: This staff disagreed with that but honored
the RTC's request to get independent financial review. That blew up in our face
as others criticized us on short notice to try to go get independent financial
review. If I had to do it all over again, I would have done exactly the same
thing because this is such a big decision, it's important, lots of eyes are on
it. And I would ask, if you set a 30- or 60-day time frame, you permit your
staff who has been around this tree before to assist in nailing down which legal
instrument should be used on which particular issue so we can bring closure to
this as quickly as possible.
MR. WILLIAMSON: I can tell you this, I don't have any
idea what the majority of the body feels right now, but if we're to pursue that
option, we will appoint one person from this department and we will not meet
except in open meeting and we will videotape everything, so don't ask us to
participate with that if you're not okay with that, because I've had it with
toll operators and House and Senate members and former board members accusing
good state employees of positions -- that I still can't find the person who
pressured NTTA into not bidding the first time, I'm still looking. So don't ask
for that unless you're prepared to have it videotaped because we're not ever
going to go through this again, we're going to tape everything we do.
MR. HOUGHTON: Well, Mr. Chairman, at a minimum, I
would say that we would be joined at the hip with RTC staff, our staff, RTC
staff to negotiate the points and maybe other points that we see from the dais
here. If that is not acceptable, then I will vote against whatever minute order
that comes up and we move on with something else.
MR. WILLIAMSON: All I'm saying, Michael, is if that's
the path you wanted to go down and if there's enough support for it -- and I
don't know that there is -- don't expect to do anything privately because I
won't let my employees do that.
MR. MORRIS: I'm not sure what all that means, Mr.
Chairman.
MR. HOUGHTON: In the open. You know, we've heard of
transparency in the session. Well, this is going to be transparent.
MR. MORRIS: Well, everything we do at the RTC is
always open, we've never had a closed meeting in our history. There were legal
issues on this particular case, we elected to keep them in open environment,
everything we do is open, every piece of paper in our office is open for anybody
who wants to look at it.
MR. HOUGHTON: I would like to piggyback. The chairman
was headed down a path, I think, and you hit it, regarding competition, how keen
I personally am on competition. We compete, all of us here on this dais, every
day in our private businesses. But Mr. Chairman, the vision that Governor Perry
and you cast six years ago -- and I made this statement to Michael at the Dallas
Morning News -- Governor Perry has won, and Ric, you've won. We have
competition, there's $2.8 billion on the table, and how many months ago did you
turn down an offer to build this?
MR. MORRIS: Fourteen months ago.
MR. HOUGHTON: Fourteen months ago there was no money
on the table, and I want to remind people in the state and the Metroplex of that
situation, and I am very proud to be associated with this.
And Mr. Chairman, I don't know what the minute order
-- I haven't seen it yet, I've read parts of it -- our staff be joined at the
hip with the RTC.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Well, let's establish a few things
first. Are you done answering questions, or are you answering questions?
MR. MORRIS: I'm done, Mr. Chairman.
MS. ANDRADE: Well, Michael, as always, thank you for
everything that you do, but I guess I sit here and I'm kind of confused because
in communities that we get involved is what we say with our local tolling
authorities is we want to help you, we want to provide you the resources and
support to be successful, and I want to make sure that this community
understands that is our staff has the experience, they've gone through this, we
don't have to spend any more of the state's money than we have to, but I can
tell you that our department is committed to helping you make the right decision
for your community.
Am I wrong in saying that, Mr. Chairman?
MR. WILLIAMSON: It's always been that way.
MS. ANDRADE: It's always been that way. So I want to
reinforce that is that I'm giving you the same message, is we're committed to
providing you with the resources and support to help you make the right
decision.
MR. MORRIS: And I think my observation, Commissioner,
is it's not a bad day when two people are trying to hand you $6 billion, and I
don't know if you can go to too many other places in this state that have done
as much as Dallas-Fort Worth has done with regard to this. The issue to me isn't
121, the issue to me is we've got a whole bunch of other transportation we're
going to build with the North Texas Tollway Authority and we want assurances
that you can be both 121 and everything else we want you to be. And they are
making that case. I don't want to be critical, but NTTA has come an awful long
way in twelve months with regard to listening to the aggressiveness the Regional
Transportation Council wants with regard to building more projects. And your
districts have come an awful long way in doing ten or twelve environmentals all
at the same time and trying to expedite projects.
So the point is we're focusing too much on the glass
half empty, and I think today we should be celebrating the glass half full. This
is an amazingly positive breakthrough, and if you give us the chance of nailing
down these commitments to your satisfaction, and frankly, to the RTC's
satisfaction, that these are real commitments, then I think we can move forward.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Let me focus a little bit, Michael, on
what the glass looks like, and if you can stay close because I think some of
these questions you can answer and some Amadeo can answer.
And Mr. Jackson, are you here? Could I get you first,
please?
Michael touched upon two things, members, that we need
to know about. One is how the federal government is going to react, and if you
can't address that matter, we'll ask Amadeo to address that matter. Do you have
any sense that you wish to share with the commission about that?
MR. JACKSON: I think Amadeo should address the federal
question.
MR. WILLIAMSON: The second is the potential for
litigation. Now, I know, having done this for six years, that we have to be very
careful from this location to say or do things that, in effect, put us into that
litigation. But there is some concern of each commission member about the legal
position that not only Cintra but the other two unsuccessful proposers might be
in as a result of our actions, and if you have anything you want to share with
us now, this is the time to do it, and if not, that's okay.
MR. JACKSON: Cintra or the other proposers could file
a protest if we went off course and selected NTTA, or Cintra could sue us -- I
doubt they would -- and if they would, I don't see how they could be successful.
MR. WILLIAMSON: In a suit?
MR. JACKSON: Or in a bid protest.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Or in a protest. And would they
protest with us or would they protest with the Federal Highway Administration?
MR. JACKSON: The protest would be with us, the suit
could be both, and they could file a complaint with the federal government.
MR. WILLIAMSON: And to what extent would the filing of
either of those, in your judgment, disrupt any agreement we might work out with
the NTTA?
MR. HOUGHTON: It depends on how successful they would
be early on, and I doubt that they would be and I would predict that it wouldn't
slow anything down.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Thank you very much.
Amadeo, do you want to talk to us about the federal
reaction, please?
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir. For the record again, Amadeo
Saenz.
We have been communicating with our local office here
of Federal Highway Administration to discuss with them what impact this would
have depending on what action, and of course, the whole thing depends on what
action was the commission going to take, so without having specifics as to what
specific action will be taken, they cannot make a determination. So based on the
action that the commission would take, we would then submit to them this is the
action, now tell us what are the circumstances.
MR. WILLIAMSON: But we know that the senior senator
has been very active in helping us through this, one of our more senior House
members, Ms. Johnson, has been active in trying to help us through with this.
Our view is that that political pressure is good but the Federal Highway
Administration is not going to take a legal position until we take a policy
position.
MR. SAENZ: That's correct, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: What's the potential? I know there's
been a lot of talk about paying back the federal government, but in reality, we
never pay the federal government back, do we?
MR. SAENZ: Well, what it is, in other words, there's
money that has been spent on 121, money that is currently being spent on 121
that we're asking for federal reimbursement. We usually spend the state dollars
and then request a federal reimbursement and they reimburse us that money. What
they would say is don't give me a check back but they would say we reimbursed
you for this, we shouldn't have, therefore, reimbursements that you're asking
for other projects we will not reimburse. So in other words, they just say
you'll have to use federal dollars for other federal projects that you were
thinking of using federal dollars.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Now, if you're sitting in Houston or
San Antonio, the potential impact of that is that money would have gone into the
metropolitan and urban mobility plan and a piece of that would have been
redistributed to us.
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Not unlike what happened with State
Highway 130, Segments 1, 2, 3 and 4, we basically went to Dallas, Houston, San
Antonio and the Valley, took gas tax money, pooled it and that became toll
equity for 130.
MR. SAENZ: That's correct.
MR. WILLIAMSON: The other parts of the state would
look at it that way.
MR. SAENZ: Yes.
MR. WILLIAMSON: So worst case is we might have to set
our MPOs down and say we need to do a reapportionment to take this North Texas
decision and reapportion with each other in order to continue down the road of
apportioning fairly to every part of the state.
MR. SAENZ: Yes, sir.
MR. WILLIAMSON: Of course, with your little
maintenance announcement earlier, it soun |